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lyl_8Returning: called in Season 2
@lyl_8 · every call recorded, losses included
Season 3From-zero season record · Nov 1 to Nov 30 · earlier calls (including Season 2) at the bottom · Season 2 record
This week: 0 of 30 calls · 0 of 15 combos · resets Thursday 00:00 UTC (a pending call holds its slot)
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
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units · 0 priced calls
ROIAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (0 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
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per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–0
none graded
FormMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WLWW
W2 streak
Season equity curve
0 graded
The curve starts with the first graded call.
Season record (0)
No graded season calls yet. The record starts with the first graded call.
Past calls (4)
Earlier calls, including Season 2: see the Season 2 record and the Hall of Fame.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp @ 53¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+89%win
“BTC Up or Down 15m 11:30 PM GMT Up 53¢ #nfa High volume and strong momentum show buyers firmly in control, and that pressure should carry into the next candle. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1159642”
- Posted
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 15:31:19 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Up.
76ers v CelticsCeltics @ 64¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+56%win
“Philadelphia 76ers vs. Boston Celtics Celtics 64¢ #nfa Boston’s depth and three-point shooting make them tough to beat even when the starters sit. Philadelphia can keep it close, but the Celtics’ consistency and spacing should help them close it out. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1127876”
- Posted
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 15:18:30 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Celtics.
Kings v WarriorsWarriors @ 68¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+47%win
“Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors Warriors 68¢ #nfa Golden State’s constant movement and ball sharing tend to carry over well even when minutes are managed. Sacramento can score in bunches, but the Warriors’ shot-making should hold up better as rotations deepen. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1127877”
- Posted
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 15:18:08 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Warriors.
Pistons v WizardsPistons @ 62¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Detroit Pistons vs. Washington Wizards Pistons 62¢ #nfa Detroit have the deeper and more physical rotation, which usually counts for a lot in preseason. Washington can stay close in spurts, but Detroit’s defensive intensity should give them the edge over four quarters. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1127879”
- Posted
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 15:17:42 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.