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← Leaderboard/Call #4917
JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Up
ENTRY
53¢
RESULT
+89%
CALLER
@lyl_8
PLACED
2026-10-10 · 15:31 UTC
Nº 0004917R
WIN
+89%
197858402457
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictionsCall #4917 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discord

“BTC Up or Down 15m 11:30 PM GMT Up 53¢ #nfa High volume and strong momentum show buyers firmly in control, and that pressure should carry into the next candle. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1159642”

lyl_8 in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe price the caller wrote
Up @ 53¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 53¢, the number the caller wrote. The market briefly showed better odds, and a call never pays more than its caller claimed.
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for Up.
+0.89uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 53 − 1)

Not counted: rapid-cycle up/down market: excluded from Season 2 by the market-scope rule (a market that resolves every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap with coin flips)

Verification details
Message id
1558502197858402457 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1159642 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET"; entry is the caller's stated 53¢; the order book at the post moment reads 67.4¢ (mid at post time (the book moved 10.1¢ between the post and capture, so the live ask is not the ask you saw)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 49.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); NOT COUNTED: rapid-cycle up/down market: excluded from Season 1 by the market-scope rule (a market that resolves every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap with coin flips)
Graded via
gamma POLY-1159642 "Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET" outcome "Up" price 1 uma=resolved closed=true

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4917), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

lyl_8
did not qualify · season 2
Profile →
+0.03u
profit
2–1
record
3
graded
form · last 10
The market
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Caller’s price
Up @ 53¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)