Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
“BTC Up or Down 15m 11:30 PM GMT Up 53¢ #nfa High volume and strong momentum show buyers firmly in control, and that pressure should carry into the next candle. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1159642”
Not counted: rapid-cycle up/down market: excluded from Season 2 by the market-scope rule (a market that resolves every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap with coin flips)
Verification details
- Message id
1558502197858402457open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1159642jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET"; entry is the caller's stated 53¢; the order book at the post moment reads 67.4¢ (mid at post time (the book moved 10.1¢ between the post and capture, so the live ask is not the ask you saw)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 49.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); NOT COUNTED: rapid-cycle up/down market: excluded from Season 1 by the market-scope rule (a market that resolves every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap with coin flips)
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1159642 "Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET" outcome "Up" price 1 uma=resolved closed=true
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4917), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Caller’s price
- Up @ 53¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement