Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record · 1 last-day call on a match after the close counts in Season 3
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-0.11u
units · 5 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (5 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-2.1%
per call · +8 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
3–2
60% of 5 (at least 23%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LWLLL
L3 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball4
2–2
-0.31u
-7.7%
4
Esports1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
5 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Combos (3)
A combo is one 1u bet that wins only if every leg wins (a void leg drops out). It counts in the totals above like any other call. Up to 15 combos count each week, and each one uses one of the 30 weekly calls.
▸Combo · 2 legs46.50¢ · win pays +1.15uPistons · Nuggets+1.15uWon
▸LoL: LOS v LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stagenot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and raabkaa called this first (call #7090, 2026-10-31 13:00 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)LYON (Game 1) @ 68¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: LYON (Game 1)
Reasoning: LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Swiss Stage
LYON has dropped three-game series to Gen.G and Invictus Gaming, but it also beat Karmine Corp and Team Secret Whales, which makes its record against stronger opposition the better one.
Picking LYON
#nfa
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Dota 2: Team Spirit v LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Spirit (Game 1) @ 83¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+20%win
“Pick: Team Spirit (Game 1)
Reasoning: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs
Spirit topped its group at 4-0 and already beat LEGION 2-0 in the group stage, while LEGION went 1-3 and was ranked last in one preview's power rankings.
Spirit's loss to OG came from a draft gamble, not from lack of level, and I expect it to reset against a weaker side. Not sure LEGION can take mor…”
Posted
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 10:32:31 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Team Spirit (Game 1).
“Pick: Atlanta Dream
Reasoning: WNBA Finals: Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream — Game 6
I'm picking Atlanta Dream to win and force a decisive Game 7. Golden State leads the series 3–2 after winning Game 5 by 64–55, but Atlanta now has home-court advantage and a chance to respond in front of its fans. The Dream's stronger offensive potential, Angel Reese's rebounding, and Rhyne Howard's scor…”
