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ibobmassRising
@ibobmass · every call recorded, losses included
Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 3From-zero season record · Nov 1 to Nov 30 · earlier calls (including Season 2) at the bottom · Season 2 record · 1 Season 2 call on a match after its close counts here
This week: 0 of 30 calls · 0 of 15 combos · resets Thursday 00:00 UTC (a pending call holds its slot)
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
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units · 0 priced calls
ROIAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (0 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
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per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–0
none graded
FormMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LWLLL
L3 streak
Season equity curve
0 graded
The curve starts with the first graded call.
Open calls (2)
LoL: Gen.G v LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffsnot counted: no Jupiter trade by 15 minutes after the callGen.G (Game 1) @ 81¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)now 81.5¢pending
“Pick: Gen.G (Game 1) Reasoning: LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs Gen.G are overwhelming favorites at 92% versus LYON at 9%, and their perfect 3-0 Swiss Stage run plus superior macro control make them the clear pick. LYON pushed them to three games earlier in Swiss, but Gen.G adapted, won the rematch 2-1, and should be far stronger in a longer BO5. I lean Gen.G. Picking Gen.G #nfa htt…”
- Posted
- Mon, 02 Nov 2026 15:45:43 UTC
LoL: Top Esports v Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffsnot counted: no Jupiter trade by 15 minutes after the callInvictus Gaming (Game 1) @ 52¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)now 51.5¢pending
“Pick: Invictus Gaming (Game 1) Reasoning: LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) Invictus Gaming enter as the market favorite at 55% versus Top Esports at 46%, and their stronger recent form and cleaner teamfight coordination give them the edge in this all-LPL knockout series. TES can punish early mistakes, but IG’s better objective control and draft adaptability should decide a long BO5. Pi…”
- Posted
- Mon, 02 Nov 2026 14:12:48 UTC
Season record (4)
Dota 2: OG v Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffsnot counted: no Jupiter trade by 15 minutes after the callOG (Game 1) @ 78¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: OG (Game 1) Reasoning: Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters III Playoffs OG enters as one of four invited teams with Topson, OneJey, skem, Natsumi- and SSS, a much more experienced roster than a Tier 3 side. Picking OG #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 06:14:11 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Dota 2: Team Synapse v HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group Cnot counted: no Jupiter trade by 15 minutes after the callTeam Synapse (Game 1) @ 70¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+43%win
“Pick: Team Synapse (Game 1) Reasoning: Dota 2: Team Synapse vs HellNight (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C HellNight leads Group C with a 3-0 game record after sweeping Hokori 2-0 and taking its series against Xipto. Picking HellNight #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 06:13:43 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Team Synapse (Game 1).
Dota 2: Team Yandex v Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffsnot counted: no Jupiter trade by 15 minutes after the callTeam Yandex (Game 1) @ 61¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Team Yandex (Game 1) Reasoning: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Grand Final Yandex is on an 11-series winning streak and has a 20-1 record since its roster change, and it beat Spirit 3-1 in the BLAST Slam VIII grand final on LAN. Picking Team Yandex #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 06:12:40 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Nets v Pacersnot counted: no Jupiter trade by 15 minutes after the callPacers @ 60¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Pacers Reasoning: NBA: Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers Brooklyn is still winless, with one of the league's weakest defenses at about 124 points allowed per game and the worst assist defense. Picking Pacers #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 18:28:26 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Past calls (3)
Earlier calls, including Season 2: see the Season 2 record and the Hall of Fame.
LoL: LOS v LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageLYON (Game 1) @ 68¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: LYON (Game 1) Reasoning: LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Swiss Stage LYON has dropped three-game series to Gen.G and Invictus Gaming, but it also beat Karmine Corp and Team Secret Whales, which makes its record against stronger opposition the better one. Picking LYON #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 18:13:40 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Dota 2: Team Spirit v LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Spirit (Game 1) @ 83¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+20%win
“Pick: Team Spirit (Game 1) Reasoning: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs Spirit topped its group at 4-0 and already beat LEGION 2-0 in the group stage, while LEGION went 1-3 and was ranked last in one preview's power rankings. Spirit's loss to OG came from a draft gamble, not from lack of level, and I expect it to reset against a weaker side. Not sure LEGION can take mor…”
- Posted
- Thu, 29 Oct 2026 10:32:31 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Team Spirit (Game 1).
Golden State Valkyries v Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream @ 65¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+54%win
“Pick: Atlanta Dream Reasoning: WNBA Finals: Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream — Game 6 I'm picking Atlanta Dream to win and force a decisive Game 7. Golden State leads the series 3–2 after winning Game 5 by 64–55, but Atlanta now has home-court advantage and a chance to respond in front of its fans. The Dream's stronger offensive potential, Angel Reese's rebounding, and Rhyne Howard's scor…”
- Posted
- Thu, 29 Oct 2026 06:56:25 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Atlanta Dream.