Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record · 1 last-day call on a match after the close counts in Season 3
Showing esports calls only: 1 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are esports. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
+0.2u
units · 1 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (1 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
+20.5%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
1–0
100% of 1 (at least 21%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LWLLL
L3 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Esports1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Season Esports equity curve
1 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (2)
▸LoL: LOS v LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stagenot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and raabkaa called this first (call #7090, 2026-10-31 13:00 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)LYON (Game 1) @ 68¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: LYON (Game 1)
Reasoning: LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Swiss Stage
LYON has dropped three-game series to Gen.G and Invictus Gaming, but it also beat Karmine Corp and Team Secret Whales, which makes its record against stronger opposition the better one.
Picking LYON
#nfa
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Dota 2: Team Spirit v LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Spirit (Game 1) @ 83¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+20%win
“Pick: Team Spirit (Game 1)
Reasoning: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs
Spirit topped its group at 4-0 and already beat LEGION 2-0 in the group stage, while LEGION went 1-3 and was ranked last in one preview's power rankings.
Spirit's loss to OG came from a draft gamble, not from lack of level, and I expect it to reset against a weaker side. Not sure LEGION can take mor…”
Posted
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 10:32:31 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Team Spirit (Game 1).
