Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-1u
units · 1 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (1 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-100%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–1
0% of 1 (at least 0%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LL
L2 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball1
0–1
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
1 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“Im leaning towards $200M+ FDV for Predict.fun one day after launch. If the hype is strong and buyers keep coming in, $300M–$500M isnt impossible Still, launch hype can fade fast so anything can happen DYOR! #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-214405”
“Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries Golden State Valkyries WIN @ 56¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1163088 The Valkyries swept Atlanta 3–0 in their regular season meetings and have home court advantage for Game 1 of the WNBA Finals. Their strong defense and consistent home performance give them a solid case, although Atlanta has been impressive in the playoffs. Allisha Grays injury is ano…”
▸Dogecoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETnot counted: rapid-cycle up/down market: excluded from Season 2 by the market-scope rule (a market that resolves every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap with coin flips)Down @ 45¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“$DOGE Up or Down 15m https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1153676 $DOGE looks bearish in the short term. Sellin pressure remains strong and further downside is possible over the next 15 minutes My bias: DOWN but a sudden bounce could invalidate the setup #nfa”
