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aurora.guraRising
@aurora.gura · every call recorded, losses included
Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 3From-zero season record · Nov 1 to Nov 30 · earlier calls (including Season 2) at the bottom · Season 2 record
This week: 0 of 30 calls · 0 of 15 combos · resets Thursday 00:00 UTC (a pending call holds its slot)
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
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units · 0 priced calls
ROIAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (0 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
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per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–0
none graded
FormMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LL
L2 streak
Season equity curve
0 graded
The curve starts with the first graded call.
Season record (0)
No graded season calls yet. The record starts with the first graded call.
Past calls (3)
Earlier calls, including Season 2: see the Season 2 record and the Hall of Fame.
Atlanta Dream v Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries @ 68¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries Golden State Valkyries WIN @ 56¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1163088 The Valkyries swept Atlanta 3–0 in their regular season meetings and have home court advantage for Game 1 of the WNBA Finals. Their strong defense and consistent home performance give them a solid case, although Atlanta has been impressive in the playoffs. Allisha Grays injury is ano…”
- Posted
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 21:20:11 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?$500M yes @ 76¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)now 95.1¢pending
“Im leaning towards $200M+ FDV for Predict.fun one day after launch. If the hype is strong and buyers keep coming in, $300M–$500M isnt impossible Still, launch hype can fade fast so anything can happen DYOR! #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-214405”
- Posted
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 09:12:58 UTC
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown @ 45¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“$DOGE Up or Down 15m https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1153676 $DOGE looks bearish in the short term. Sellin pressure remains strong and further downside is possible over the next 15 minutes My bias: DOWN but a sudden bounce could invalidate the setup #nfa”
- Posted
- Fri, 09 Oct 2026 13:11:12 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.