Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-4.7u
units · 17 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (17 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-27.6%
per call · -8 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
7–10
41% of 17 (at least 22%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LWLLW
W1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Football15
6–9
-4.59u
-30.6%
15
Basketball1
0–1
—
—
1 · under 3
Other1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
17 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Combos (5)
A combo is one 1u bet that wins only if every leg wins (a void leg drops out). It counts in the totals above like any other call. Up to 15 combos count each week, and each one uses one of the 30 weekly calls.
▸Combo · 4 legs21.84¢ · win pays +3.58uUnder 6.5 · Under 3.5 · United States Over 1.5 · Mexico Under 2.5-1.00uLost
counts: combo 5 of 15 in week 1
Leg 1Under 6.5 @ 67¢Argentina v Benin · Internationalwon
Leg 2Under 3.5 @ 77¢Colombia v Peru · Internationalwon
Leg 3United States Over 1.5 @ 58¢United States v Canada · Internationallostdecided it
Leg 4Mexico Under 2.5 @ 73¢Mexico v Chile · Internationalwon
“Portugal vs Norway. Norway Over 5.5 Corners @ 27c Norway generated 7 corners against Portugal in their latest meeting, and their attacking pressure gives value at just 27c. #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1057948”
“Elon Musk # tweets Oct 3–5: 65–89 YES @ 53c The 65–89 range remains the strongest outcome, with the market holding near 53c and recent activity favoring this band. #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114455”
“Girona vs. Mallorca Girona WIN @ 39c Girona have won four of their last five, lead Mallorca 14-8 in goals, and home advantage gives them the edge in a balanced matchup. #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1057222”
“CD Castellón vs. AD Ceuta FC. Under 4.5 Goals @ 71c. Castellón are in excellent form, but most of their wins remain controlled, while Ceuta's weaker attack makes a 5+ goal game unlikely. #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1057217”
“Wales vs. Denmark. Prediction: Totals Over 1.5 @ 76c. Reasoning: Both teams have shown strong scoring potential, while Denmark's recent meetings with Wales consistently produce goals. #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1057950”
“Netherlands vs. Serbia Prediction: Totals Under 4.5 @ 72c Reasoning: Both teams have stayed below five total goals in their recent Nations League matches, while their first meeting ended 2-1. #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1057949”
“Portugal vs. Norway Picking: Portugal Win @ 60c Reasoning: Portugal are unbeaten with three straight Nations League wins, already beat Norway 2-1, and now return home with Félix and Ramos in strong scoring form. #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1057948”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1057951 Greece vs. Germany Prediction: Germany Win 53c Reasoning: Germany lost the reverse fixture 0-1 despite dominating possession and creating the majority of the attacking pressure, but they responded with a convincing 2-0 win over Serbia, including 16 first-half shots. Greece remain unbeaten and have home advantage, but they now lose Christos Tzolis while Ger…”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1057952 Republic of Ireland vs. Israel Prediction: Ireland Win @ 46c Reasoning: Ireland already showed a clear matchup advantage in the 3-0 win over Israel just one week ago, scoring three times in the opening 24 minutes. They followed that with a competitive 2-2 draw against group leaders Austria, while Israel remain bottom of Group B3 with just one point and hav…”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1052642 Switzerland vs. Slovenia Pick: Switzerland O 1.5 @ 61c Reasoning: Switzerland are producing excellent attacking volume and have scored 3 goals in each of their last two Nations League matches. #NFA”
Posted
Sat, 03 Oct 2026 18:40:52 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Switzerland Over 1.5.
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1052644 UNL: North Macedonia vs. Scotland Prediction: Scotland Win 60c Reasoning: Scotland have the stronger overall squad and lead the H2H 2-1-1, including a 2-1 win in their last trip to Skopje. North Macedonia have lost their opening two Nations League matches 3-0 to Switzerland and 2-0 to Slovenia without scoring, while Scotland have also struggled offensively…”
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1088680 NBA: Heat vs. Raptors Prediction: Raptors Win 63c Reasoning: Raptors dominated the head-to-head matchup last season with a clean 4-0 sweep. While Heat is dealing with a major roster overhaul and chemistry adjustment, Toronto maintains great core continuity (Barnes, Ingram, Barrett, Quickley) and will enjoy massive home-crowd support in Quebec. Raptors are …”
“Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Prediction: Adam Walton WIN Reasoning: Superior hard-court specialty, higher first-serve retention on fast Laykold courts, and proven track record in North American hard-court conditions over a clay specialist. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845974”
“Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Prediction: Hamad Medjedovic WIN Reasoning: Massive hard-court surface advantage, big-serve power on fast Laykold courts, and superior physical freshness over a 36-year-old clay specialist. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845972”
▸Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell v Kamil MajchrzakKamil Majchrzak @ 63¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzak Prediction: Kamil Majchrzak WIN Reasoning: Stronger 2026 overall form, superior second-serve return metrics, and an undefeated H2H hard-court record over O'Connell. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845971”
“Cincinnati Open: Emiliana Arango vs Venus Williams Prediction: Emiliana Arango WIN Reasoning: Strong qualifying momentum and match fitness against Venus Williams' prolonged losing streak. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845784”
“Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Prediction: Mark Lajal WIN Reasoning: Lajal’s powerful serve and hard-court playing style characterized by flat shots gave him the edge over Cerundolo, a clay-court specialist, when competing on a fast court. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845977”
“Cincinnati Open: Valentin Royer vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Stefanos Tsitsipas WIN Reasoning: Massive class and hard-court experience gap; Royer struggles on hard courts with a sub-36% career win-rate at 75c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836949”
“Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaier Coleman Wong WIN Reasoning: Superior hard-court specialty, 1-0 H2H Miami Masters sweep, and big-serve edge (9.8 aces/match) over clay specialist Altmaier at 60c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845976”
“LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports WIN Reasoning: High-value live comeback play on TES roster caliber to execute a 2-1 reverse sweep at 37c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-794665”
▸Dota 2: Aurora v Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageAurora @ 38¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+163%win
“Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage Aurora WIN Reasoning: High-value underdog play relying on early-game laning aggression at 38c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-847448”
▸Dota 2: Iron Wing v Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Falcons @ 23¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage Team Falcons WIN Reasoning: High-value live comeback play on Falcons' late-game draft potential at 23c. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-844369”
▸Counter-Strike: TYLOO v Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CTYLOO @ 65¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C TYLOO WIN Reasoning: Clear head-to-head dominance in the Chinese derby and superior BO3 map pool tactical depth at 65c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-840597”
▸Counter-Strike: NIP v BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BBetBoom Team @ 65¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B BetBoom Team WIN Reasoning: Superior map pool depth and firepower consistency in a BO3 format over NIP\'s rebuilding lineup at 65c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-839315”
▸Cincinnati Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew v Anna BlinkovaMananchaya Sawangkaew @ 54¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Cincinnati Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Anna Blinkova Mananchaya Sawangkaew WIN Reasoning: Strong momentum and superior court coverage to capitalize on Blinkova\'s unforced errors at 54c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845777”
“Hamburg Challenger: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Dylan Dietrich Dylan Dietrich WIN Reasoning: Red-hot 2026 clay form (27-5) and strong recent Challenger momentum. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-841059”
“Brownsburg Challenger (Doubles): Broady/Wendelken vs Lammons/Withrow Lammons/Withrow WIN Reasoning: Massive doubles specialist edge and elite ATP tour experience at 50c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845760”
“Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskova Prediction: Karolina Pliskova WIN Reasoning: High value entry at current line. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836885”
▸National Bank Open: Ben Shelton v Brandon NakashimaBen Shelton @ 69¢ → sold 87.5¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+27%win
“National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction: Ben Shelton WIN Reasoning: Solid entry price for current form. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-842196”
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 23:09:12 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 87.5¢, +18.5¢ on the 69¢ entry.
“Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Gael Monfils Prediction: Gael Monfils WIN Reasoning: Good value at current market price. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836920”
“Cincinnati Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Katerina Siniakova Katerina Siniakova WIN Reasoning: Siniakova's deep WTA experience and superior court craft give her a clear edge against Timofeeva. Getting a battle-tested veteran at near 50-50 market pricing (51¢) offers excellent +EV value. #NFA #DYOR https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836895”
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 22:49:04 UTC
Outcome
Voided: the market did not settle as a win or a loss, so the call scores 0.
“Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Panna Udvardy Cristina Bucsa WIN Reasoning: Bucsa holds a strong hard-court advantage over Udvardy (who is primarily a clay specialist), and her superior baseline power on fast courts gives her the edge tied 3-3 in the deciding set. #NFA #DYOR https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836938”
“National Bank Open (Doubles): Luz/Matos vs Arevalo/Pavic Arevalo/Pavic WIN Reason: Top-tier doubles specialists Arevalo/Pavic hold a massive skill and experience advantage on hard courts over clay-specialist pair Luz/Matos, making 78¢ a solid high-probability pick. #NFA #DYOR https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-840902”
“Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Mariano Navone WIN Reason: Navone is currently leading 4-3 in the first set with solid first-serve consistency and zero double faults, yet his price on Jupiter remains undervalued/mispriced at 49¢. #NFA #DYOR https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836909”
