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← Open calls/Combo #26
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #26 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

20.79¢ · win pays +3.81u

Said · before resolutionOct 4, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

#combo #nfa 1. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1063311 Northern Ireland WIN @ 41c 2. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1063312 France Win @ 65c 3. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1063315 Italy vs Turkey: Totals Under 4.5 @ 78c Northern Ireland have the stronger home setup, France should control their matchup, and Italy-Turkey should stay below five total goals.

Zagh in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Northern Ireland @ 41¢
    Northern Ireland v Georgia
    Starts
    Entry
    41¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Northern Ireland vs. Georgia"; entry is the caller's stated 41¢; the order book at the post moment reads 40.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 40.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 5, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1063311 "Northern Ireland" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    France @ 65¢
    France v Belgium
    Starts
    Entry
    65¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "France vs. Belgium"; entry is the caller's stated 65¢; the order book at the post moment reads 64.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 64.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 5, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1063312 "France" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Under 4.5 @ 78¢
    Italy v Türkiye - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    78¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Italy vs. Türkiye - More Markets"; "Under 4.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Italy vs. Türkiye - More Markets" (POLY-1063437); entry is the caller's stated 78¢; the order book at the post moment reads 77.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 77.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 5, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1063437 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
20.79¢

41¢ × 65¢ × 78¢ = 20.79¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 20.79 − 1 = +3.81u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 5, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Northern Ireland", Northern Ireland v Georgia): gamma POLY-1063311 "Northern Ireland" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 3 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

Zagh
rank #23 · season 2
Profile →
-4.7u
profit
7–10
record
17
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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