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← Open calls/Combo #41
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #41 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

21.84¢ · win pays +3.58u

Said · before resolutionOct 6, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

#combo #nfa 1. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1103365 Totals U6.5 @67c 2. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1069121 Totals U3.5 @77c 3. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1069122 United States O1.5 @58c 4. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1097826 Mexico U2.5 @73c Argentina should control the game without needing another extreme scoreline, while Colombia-Peru profiles as a controlled low-scoring matchup. USA are in strong attacking form with 11 goals across their last three, and Mexico should stay below three goals against Chile.

Zagh in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Under 6.5 @ 67¢
    Argentina v Benin - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    67¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Argentina vs. Benin - More Markets"; "under 6.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Argentina vs. Benin - More Markets" (POLY-1104990); entry is the caller's stated 67¢; the order book at the post moment reads 66¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 66.0¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 7, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1104990 "O/U 6.5" outcome "Under" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Under 3.5 @ 77¢
    Colombia v Peru - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    77¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Colombia vs. Peru - More Markets"; "under 3.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Colombia vs. Peru - More Markets" (POLY-1070754); entry is the caller's stated 77¢; the order book at the post moment reads 76¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 76.0¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 7, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1070754 "O/U 3.5" outcome "Under" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    United States Over 1.5 @ 58¢
    United States v Canada - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    58¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "United States vs. Canada - More Markets"; "United States Over 1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "United States vs. Canada - More Markets" (POLY-1070753); entry is the caller's stated 58¢; the order book at the post moment reads 57.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 57.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 7, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1070753 "United States O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Mexico Under 2.5 @ 73¢
    Mexico v Chile - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Mexico vs. Chile - More Markets"; "Mexico Under 2.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Mexico vs. Chile - More Markets" (POLY-1099594); entry is the caller's stated 73¢; the order book at the post moment reads 72.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 72.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 7, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1099594 "Mexico O/U 2.5" outcome "Under" price 0.996 uma=proposed closed=false
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
21.84¢

67¢ × 77¢ × 58¢ × 73¢ = 21.84¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 21.84 − 1 = +3.58u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 7, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("United States Over 1.5", United States v Canada - More Markets): gamma POLY-1070753 "United States O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 5 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

Zagh
rank #23 · season 2
Profile →
-4.7u
profit
7–10
record
17
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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