Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Said · before resolutionAug 11, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

“#NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-826925 down 100% sure”

GGurk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

Down @ 99.8¢

flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way

ResolvedAug 11, 2026 · market settlement

Won. Settled by the market’s official resolution.

+0.00uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 99.8 − 1)

Verification details

gamma POLY-826925 "Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET" outcome "Down" price 1 uma=resolved closed=true

Not counted: rapid-cycle up/down market: excluded from Season 1 by the market-scope rule (a market that resolves every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap with coin flips). Enforcement was BISON-only until Aug 13; the same market on Polymarket had been scoring.