JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 1
VERIFIED CALL
FIFA WC ’26 — Colombia — to advance
Yes
ENTRY
61¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@macximus
PLACED
2026-07-07 · 07:57 UTC
Nº 0000359R
LOSS
-100%
180094201908
JUPCALLERS.FUN
LOSSPredictionsCall #359
FIFA WC ’26 — Colombia — to advance
Said · before resolutionJul 7, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
“Taking Colombia **To Advance** at 61 cents. #NFA”
macximus in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Yes @ 61¢
flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved
Lost. Settled by the market’s official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
v1 grading note: Jul 7 · “Taking Colombia **To Advance** at 61 cents. #NFA” (msg 1523961180094201908, author macxprime) — Colombia to advance (WC ’26 knockout futures) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 61¢ matches gamma stage-of-elimination R16 “No” price 0.605 at capture · NO HINDSIGHT: Colombia already cleared Group + R32 (both closed on gamma before pick time — R32 elim market resolved No), so “to advance” grades on the NEXT still-open hurdle = win the Round of 16 tie; grade via gamma world-cup-colombia-stage-of-elimination “Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16? = No” · LOSS: Switzerland 0-0 Colombia (4-3 pens, Jul 7) — Colombia eliminated in R16, did NOT advance (ESPN/CNN/FIFA + gamma R16-elimination Yes 0.995 umaResolutionStatus proposed)
The market
FIFA WC ’26 — Colombia — to advance
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Ask at post
- Yes @ 61¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement