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JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 1
VERIFIED CALL
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin v Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz
ENTRY
84¢
RESULT
+19%
CALLER
@surfmor
PLACED
2026-08-28 · 13:57 UTC
Nº 0001949R
WIN
+19%
970394705982
JUPCALLERS.FUN
WINPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #1949 · Season 1

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin v Carlos Alcaraz

Said · before resolutionAug 28, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Tennis: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz (BO5) Reasoning: All models unanimously project a decisive victory for Alcaraz, highlighting the immense physical, technical, and ranking disparity over a best-of-five format. While the market gives Safiullin a slightly higher 16.5% puncher's chance, Safiullin lacks the sustained consistency and defensive resilience required to upset Alcaraz across multiple sets on hard courts. Reconciling Claude's aggressive discount with the other estimates, Alcaraz is overwhelmingly favored to control baseline exchanges and cruise to a straight-sets win. Match winner Carlos Alcaraz : 84c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-924385

surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Carlos Alcaraz @ 84¢
flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way
ResolvedAug 31, 2026 · market settlement
Won. Settled by the market’s official resolution.
+0.19uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 84 − 1)
Verification details
gamma POLY-924385 "US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz" outcome "Carlos Alcaraz" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false
surfmor
rank #9 · season 1
Profile →
+5.27u
profit
5512
record
67
graded
form · last 10
The market
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin v Carlos Alcaraz
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Ask at post
Carlos Alcaraz @ 84¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)