Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery v Alex de Minaur

Said · before resolutionAug 17, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

“ATP1000 - Cincinnati 🇺🇸 Phase: Main Draw Risk: 🔴 Super High Risk Pick: 🇦🇺 A. de Minaur -1.5 @ 54c Reason: Unless de Minaur produces another poor performance, I struggle to find a realistic Fery winning path. Pretty much everything Fery does well (early timing, redirecting pace, returning well and making opponents play) De Minaur can do at an even higher level. The Australian also has the superior movement and defensive floor, so Fery would need to consistently win the first few shots of rallies rather and not simply outlasting him. *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-857576”

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

Minaur -1.5 sets @ 55¢

flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 94¢

ResolvedAug 17, 2026 · market settlement

Won. Settled by the market’s official resolution.

+0.71uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 94¢)

Verification details

closed early via #close (msg 1539016373261443171, posted 2026-08-17T21:01:36.927Z): entry 55c -> exit 77.1c (+22.1c realized); no trade within 2min of the close; series interpolated between 80.0c at 21:01:11 and 73.5c at 21:02:08; "#close 94c" | RESTATED 2026-08-18 by owner ruling: exit 77.1c -> 94c, the price the caller stated with his #close. For the record: 94c was the displayed ASK at his screenshot ~40s before the message; both token series put the fair value at the message timestamp at ~77.4c, and the board's computed 77.1c matched it. Honored as stated by the owner's decision.

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The market

Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery v Alex de Minaur

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Ask at post: Minaur -1.5 sets @ 55¢
Resolution: market’s official settlement

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