Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Said · before resolutionAug 16, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

“ATP1000 - Cincinnati 🇺🇸 Phase: Main Draw Risk: 🔴 High Risk Pick: 🇫🇷 A. Rinderknech @ 61c Reason: Rinderknech should have a very clear game plan here and that's don't get dragged into Cerúndolo's long baseline exchanges, but use the serve and first forehand to keep the points short. Cincinnati is an better environment for the Frenchman. His serve + FH power should allow him to take control before Cerúndolo can turn the match into the physical, high-volume rallies he wants. Cerúndolo's win over Lajal was solid, but this is a completely different level of opposition and Rinderknech has enough raw power to simply hit through him on these courts. *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-851033”

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

Arthur Rinderknech @ 61¢

flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 68¢

ResolvedAug 16, 2026 · market settlement

Won. Settled by the market’s official resolution.

+0.11uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 68¢)

Verification details

closed early via #close (msg 1538639626871505059, posted 2026-08-16T20:04:33.588Z): entry 61c -> exit 64c (+3.0c realized); CLOB history 0.64 at 2026-08-16T20:04:11.000Z (22s from post); "#close" | CORRECTED 2026-08-16: exit restated 64c -> 68c. The old figure was the midpoint series sampled at 20:04:11, 22s before the post, sitting in a trough (68.5c at 20:03:11, 67.5c at 20:05:11). The trade tape shows this side selling at 68c six seconds before the message (size 5183) and again one second after, with no print at 64c within 90s either way, so 64c was below anything executable. Closes are now priced from the tape at the post instant.

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The market

Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Ask at post: Arthur Rinderknech @ 61¢
Resolution: market’s official settlement

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