JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 1
VERIFIED CALL
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen
Taylor Fritz
ENTRY
62¢
RESULT
+61%
CALLER
@surfmor
PLACED
2026-08-16 · 13:19 UTC
Nº 0001265R
WIN
+61%
702813733004
JUPCALLERS.FUN
WINPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #1265 · Season 1
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen
Said · before resolutionAug 16, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
“Tennis: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen (BO3) Reasoning: All models favor Fritz due to his superior first-serve weapon, top-10 pedigree, and explosive plus-one baseline game on fast Cincinnati courts. The main divergence lies in margin: older batch analysis rightly highlights Michelsen's recent H2H resistance and form, keeping this tight. However, Fritz's serve hold reliability in best-of-three Masters conditions gives him the decisive edge in clutch tiebreak moments. Reconciling market value with Fritz's court-fit advantage yields a calibrated 65% win probability. Match winner Taylor Fritz @62c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-851032”
surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Taylor Fritz @ 62¢
flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way
ResolvedAug 16, 2026 · market settlement
Won. Settled by the market’s official resolution.
+0.61uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 62 − 1)
Verification details
gamma POLY-851032 "Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen" outcome "Taylor Fritz" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false
The market
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Ask at post
- Taylor Fritz @ 62¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement