JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 1
VERIFIED CALL
Cincinnati Open: Alex Michelsen v Jesper de Jong
Alex Michelsen
ENTRY
81¢
RESULT
+23%
CALLER
@surfmor
PLACED
2026-08-14 · 03:42 UTC
Nº 0001148R
WIN
+23%
773843374139
JUPCALLERS.FUN
WINPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #1148 · Season 1
Cincinnati Open: Alex Michelsen v Jesper de Jong
Said · before resolutionAug 14, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
“Tennis: Alex Michelsen vs Jesper de Jong (BO3) Reasoning: All models strongly agree that Michelsen holds a decisive edge due to ranking tier (#42 vs #105), potent serve-and-backhand baseline play, and superior surface comfort on fast American hard courts compared to de Jong’s clay-oriented grinding. The models slightly shade below the market line (80.5%) to around 75-80% to account for standard best-of-three variance. With universal alignment on player profiles and tactical matchups, a calibrated estimate of 78% strongly favors Michelsen. Match winner Alex Michelsen @81c Confidence 75/100 #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836925”
surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Alex Michelsen @ 81¢
flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way
ResolvedAug 14, 2026 · market settlement
Won. Settled by the market’s official resolution.
+0.23uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 81 − 1)
Verification details
gamma POLY-836925 "Cincinnati Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jesper de Jong" outcome "Alex Michelsen" price 1 uma=resolved closed=true
The market
Cincinnati Open: Alex Michelsen v Jesper de Jong
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Ask at post
- Alex Michelsen @ 81¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement