Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Said · before resolutionAug 13, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-839188 Down @49 #nfa”

Llovingrishi in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

Down @ 67¢

flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 52.5¢

ResolvedAug 13, 2026 · market settlement

Lost. Settled by the market’s official resolution.

-0.22uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 52.5¢)

Verification details

closed early via #close (msg 1537492953969197066, posted 2026-08-13T16:08:05.464Z): entry 67c -> exit 52.5c (-14.5c realized); CLOB history 0.525 at 2026-08-13T16:07:12.000Z (53s from post); "#close"

Not counted: rapid-cycle up/down market: excluded from Season 1 by the market-scope rule (a market that resolves every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap with coin flips). Enforcement was BISON-only until Aug 13; the same market on Polymarket had been scoring.