FIFA WC ’26 — Argentina v Austria — total goals

Said · before resolutionJun 22, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-351755 over 2.5 goals”

best makes jup great in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

Over 2.5 @ 53¢

flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way

Resolved

Lost. Settled by the market’s official resolution.

-1.00uat a 1-unit stake

Verification details

v1 grading note: Jun 22 · “over 2.5 goals” + jup.ag link (POLY-351755) — total-goals Over 2.5, Argentina v Austria (top-level message, kickoff Jun 22) · soccer special, grade from official final score (Over 2.5 = 3+ goals) · captured via Chrome real-time scan, author confirmed weathernotpro via ClickHouse · entry = implied prob from exact-score market (fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-exact-score) at capture = sum of scorelines ≥3 + Any Other Score = 52.6¢ · LOSS: Argentina 2-0 Austria FT (2 goals < 3; ESPN FT + gamma exact-score 2-0 @0.985)

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The market

FIFA WC ’26 — Argentina v Austria — total goals

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Ask at post: Over 2.5 @ 53¢
Resolution: market’s official settlement

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