LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #90 · Season 2
Combo · 3 legs
60.76¢ · win pays +0.65u
Said · before resolutionOct 10, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1089286 picking Under 4.5 Goals @ 75¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1089279 picking Under 4.5 Goals @ 78¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1089273 picking Toulouse to Win No @ 75¢ Paris FC versus Lorient can stay within the under 4.5 limit even if both teams score, since the market allows up to four goals. Brest versus Angers needs to stay below five total goals for the under 4.5 selection to land. Backing No on Toulouse to win means either a Monaco victory or a draw would satisfy the market. #NFA #COMBO
blockbullz in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1WonUnder 4.5 @ 95¢FC Lorient v Paris FC - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 95¢ (the message said 75¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "FC Lorient vs. Paris FC - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "FC Lorient vs. Paris FC - More Markets" (POLY-1089710); entry 95¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 75¢); NOT COUNTED: market not trading: the book was stopped when this call landed: the game was under way and the order book had carried no trade for ten minutes while the price feed sat frozen on 94¢, so there was no price to take at the moment it was made; counted: the book was trading: the next trade printed 1 minute after the post at 95¢, so it was a quiet market, not a stopped one; the entry stands - Result
- won · Oct 10, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1089710 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2 · decided the comboLostUnder 4.5 @ 78¢Stade Brestois 29 v Angers SCO - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 78¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO - More Markets" (POLY-1089715); entry is the caller's stated 78¢; the order book at the post moment reads 75.5¢ (mid at post time (the book was moving 6.7¢ a minute and we read it 108s after the post, so the live ask is our lag and not your price)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 75.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 10, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1089715 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 3WonNo: Toulouse FC @ 82¢AS Monaco FC v Toulouse FC
- Starts
- Entry
- 82¢ (the message said 75¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 3: event "AS Monaco FC vs. Toulouse FC"; entry 82¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 75¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 10, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1089273 "Toulouse FC" outcome "No" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
60.76¢
95¢ × 78¢ × 82¢ = 60.76¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 60.76 − 1 = +0.65u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 10, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Under 4.5", Stade Brestois 29 v Angers SCO - More Markets): gamma POLY-1089715 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter
Not counted: leg 1 entry 95¢ above the 90¢ maximum for a leg.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.