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← Open calls/Combo #85
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #85 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

28.59¢ · win pays +2.50u

Said · before resolutionOct 10, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

COMBO 4 PICK: 1. AFC Ajax vs. NEC https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1092103 Pick: AFC Ajax @ 77¢. Ajax is a Dutch league club currently sitting in first place; this match will be played at Ajax's home ground, so their advantage stems not only from their ranking but also from playing on their own turf. 2. Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Twente. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1092102 Pick: FC Twente @ 68¢. Twente employs an attacking style in the early stages to snatch points, and this match looks like it belongs to Twente. 3. Beşiktaş JK vs. Kocaelispor. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1092639 Pick: Beşiktaş @ 77¢ Beşiktaş is one of the most respected clubs in the Turkish league; although they won't be playing in the Champions League this year, it looks like they have already secured a spot for next year's competition. 4. Stade Rennais FC vs. AJ Auxerre. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1095781 Pick: Stade Rennais @ 68¢. Stade Rennais is a well-known club in the French league, and their current opponent is not particularly formidable; this looks like an easy matchup for Stade Rennais. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Lost
    AFC Ajax @ 77¢
    AFC Ajax v NEC
    Starts
    Entry
    77¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "AFC Ajax vs. NEC"; entry is the caller's stated 77¢: the order-book ask at post time read 74¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 10, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1092103 "AFC Ajax" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    FC Twente @ 69¢
    Fortuna Sittard v FC Twente
    Starts
    Entry
    69¢ (the message said 68¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Twente"; entry 69¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 68¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 10, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1092102 "FC Twente" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Beşiktaş JK @ 78¢
    Beşiktaş JK v Kocaelispor
    Starts
    Entry
    78¢ (the message said 77¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Beşiktaş JK vs. Kocaelispor"; entry 78¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 77¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 11, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1092639 "Beşiktaş JK" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Stade Rennais FC 1901 @ 69¢
    Stade Rennais FC 1901 v AJ Auxerre
    Starts
    Entry
    69¢ (the message said 68¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. AJ Auxerre"; entry 69¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 68¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 11, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1095781 "Stade Rennais FC 1901" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
28.59¢

77¢ × 69¢ × 78¢ × 69¢ = 28.59¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 28.59 − 1 = +2.50u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 10, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("FC Twente", Fortuna Sittard v FC Twente): gamma POLY-1092102 "FC Twente" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 7 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
Profile →
+9.72u
profit
60–54
record
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graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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