Combo · 3 legs
45.96¢ · win pays +1.18u
Aight bois, we hit the first combo of the season yesterday, that means this one probably will fail 🤣 COMBO Risk: 🔴 Super Degen High Risk ATP500 - China Open - Beijing 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇪🇸 C. Alcaraz -1.5 @ 76c Reason: Arnaldi’s best realistic score is a first-set tiebreak, the Indian Wells start, not a sustained lead. If the Michelsen misses are still in the serve, that set goes long and the second does not. A third set only happens if the wrist-adjusted timing from yesterday’s first two sets shows up again. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1113298 ATP500 - China Open - Beijing 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇷🇺 D. Medvedev @ 84c Reason: Medvedev’s path is the one he used yesterday, land the first ball at the Carreno Busta rate, take the return early, and never let the German’s forehand get a clean look. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1118649 ATP500 - China Open - Beijing 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇩🇪 A. Zverev -1.5 @ 72c Reason: Zverev serve takes the lefty pattern away, and the backhand is the heavier ball once the point leaves the box. Baez found that out after winning the opening set. Norrie, a better lefty returner than this version of Shang, did not get a set at all. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1113294 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo
- Leg 1WonCarlos Alcaraz -1.5 sets @ 76¢Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz v Matteo Arnaldi
- Starts
- Entry
- 76¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 3, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1113298 "Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Carlos Alcaraz" price 0.9955 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2WonDaniil Medvedev @ 84¢China Open: Daniil Medvedev v Jan-Lennard Struff
- Starts
- Entry
- 84¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 3, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1118649 "China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff" outcome "Daniil Medvedev" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 3WonAlexander Zverev -1.5 sets @ 72¢China Open: Alexander Zverev v Juncheng Shang
- Starts
- Entry
- 72¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 3: event "China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 3, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1113294 "China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Alexander Zverev" price 0.995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
76¢ × 84¢ × 72¢ = 45.96¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 45.96 − 1 = +1.18u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
Verification details
Counts toward Season 2: combo 2 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.