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← Open calls/Combo #71
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #71 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

44.89¢ after a void · win pays +1.23u

Said · before resolutionOct 10, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

#combo #nfa 1. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1159413 Team Spirit +1.5 maps 2. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1161335 PARIVISION series winner 3. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1161334 InterActive Philippines series winner Spirit’s verified 2-1 win against this Yandex lineup supports their chances of taking at least one map. Yatoro and Larl need to turn their openings into objectives. Yandex’s ability to control buildings remains the main threat to avoiding a sweep. PARIVISION’s exact-lineup map results against Aurora and No[o]ne’s mid performance support a narrow series lean. Satanic needs farming space while No[o]ne creates opportunities around Roshan and towers. Aurora’s stronger result against shared opponent 1win keeps this competitive. IAP is my manual addition based on a report that a Kukuys player potentially cannot play. This report is not official yet and Kukuys may want to negotiate with the organizer.

.magsasaka in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Team Spirit +1.5 games @ 69¢
    Dota 2: Team Yandex v Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
    Starts
    Entry
    69¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs"; entry 69¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 10, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1159413 "Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)" outcome "Team Spirit" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    PARIVISION @ 78¢
    Dota 2: PARIVISION v Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
    Starts
    Entry
    78¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs"; entry 78¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 10, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1161335 "Match Winner" outcome "PARIVISION" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Void
    InterActive Philippines @ 83.4¢
    Dota 2: KukuysV3 v InterActive Philippines (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs
    Traded on Jupiter
    Starts
    Entry
    83.4¢
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Dota 2: KukuysV3 vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs"; entry 83.4¢ from mid at post time (the book was moving 7.4¢ a minute and we read it 23s after the post, so the live ask is our lag and not your price); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    void: dropped from the price · Oct 10, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1161334 "Match Winner" resolved 50/50 (refund/incomplete event) uma=resolved
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
44.89¢after a void

At post: 69¢ × 78¢ × 83.4¢ = 44.89¢, the price the 10¢ to 90¢ combo band is checked on.

Leg 3 was void and dropped out, so the combo was repriced to 69¢ × 78¢ = 44.89¢: a win pays +1.23u, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 10, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Team Spirit +1.5 games", Dota 2: Team Yandex v Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs): gamma POLY-1159413 "Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)" outcome "Team Spirit" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 2 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

.magsasaka
rank #36 · season 2
Profile →
-5.46u
profit
2–8
record
10
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.