Combo · 2 legs

1. Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl v Sebastian Dominko: Over 22.5 2. Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich v Aidan Mayo: Over 2.5 Reasoning: 1. Dominko’s path to winning is simple: keep the first-serve percentage high, rack up free points with the lefty serve, and avoid getting broken more than once or twice. His Sioux Falls serve numbers (especially 89.4% 1st-serve points and 21% ace rate) are elite for this level. Draxl’s path is to stay patient on return, attack the second serve, and convert the extra break chances he creates. His return metrics in Sioux Falls are clearly superior, and his career conversion rate supports that. 2. Dietrich takes it early on return and looks to break. Mayo takes it early on serve and looks to hold. Sioux Falls indoor hard sits the second serve up, which is the ball Dietrich has attacked more effectively in the sample. If Mayo’s first serve lands at the higher end of the range seen this week and the hold looks like the 79.8% first-serve points won, the service games stay cleaner. If it drops and the return looks like the 42.5%, Dietrich takes more of the service games. The return edge and form favor Dietrich. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

Ssnk on community.jup.ag