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← Open calls/Combo #67
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #67 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

26.07¢ · win pays +2.84u

Said · before resolutionOct 9, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1083681 I’m picking "Yes" for Dortmund at odds of 71¢. If you want free money on this match, choose Dortmund; their advantage isn't just playing at home—Dortmund is also a team that has made history in the German league. 2. FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern Munich. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1089281 I’m picking "Yes" on the Bayern -1.5 spread at odds of 68¢. This isn't a very balanced matchup, which is why I’m choosing the -1.5 spread for Bayern. 3. Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1089927 I’m picking "Yes" for Real Madrid at odds of 71¢. Real Madrid is playing away in this match, but given their championship mentality, playing away isn't an issue for them. 4. FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1089925 I’m picking "Yes" for Barcelona with a -1.5 spread at odds 75¢. To me, Barcelona is the king of all leagues right now; this giant club sits at the top of both La Liga and the UCL. There is no other choice but to pick Barcelona to win. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    BV Borussia 09 Dortmund @ 72¢
    BV Borussia 09 Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen
    Starts
    Entry
    72¢ (the message said 71¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen"; entry 72¢ from the ask printed at the post moment (72¢, 8s away) (caller stated 71¢); the mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post) read 71.5¢ while the tape was paying 72¢ 8s from the post; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 72¢ 8s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    lost · Oct 9, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1083681 "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Lost
    FC Bayern München -1.5 @ 68¢
    FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    68¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets"; "Bayern -1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets" (POLY-1089719); entry is the caller's stated 68¢; the order book at the post moment reads 67.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 67.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 10, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1089719 "FC Bayern München (-1.5)" outcome "FC Bayern München" price 0.0095 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Real Madrid CF @ 71¢
    Real Madrid CF v Villarreal CF
    Traded on Jupiter
    Starts
    Entry
    71¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF"; entry is the caller's stated 71¢; the order book at the post moment reads 71.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 71.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 10, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1089927 "Real Madrid CF" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    FC Barcelona -1.5 @ 75¢
    FC Barcelona v Getafe CF - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    75¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF - More Markets"; "Barcelona -1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF - More Markets" (POLY-1090160); entry is the caller's stated 75¢; the order book at the post moment reads 74.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 74.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 10, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1090160 "FC Barcelona (-1.5)" outcome "FC Barcelona" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
26.07¢

72¢ × 68¢ × 71¢ × 75¢ = 26.07¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 26.07 − 1 = +2.84u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 9, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("BV Borussia 09 Dortmund", BV Borussia 09 Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen): gamma POLY-1083681 "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 4 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
Profile →
+9.72u
profit
60–54
record
114
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.