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← Open calls/Combo #658
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #658 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

14.57¢ · win pays +5.86u

Said · before resolutionOct 31, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev v Carlos Alcaraz: Over 10.5 (Set 1) 2. Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante v Zachary Svajda: Thiago Agustin Tirante Reasoning: 1.Alcaraz’s edge is the higher second-serve points won, higher break rate, higher total points won, and higher dominance ratio. He takes the ball early and the second-serve and break-rate numbers are the ones that decide service games. Medvedev’s edge is the higher ace rate and higher first-serve points won. He takes the ball early and the first-serve numbers are the ones that decide service games. The second-serve and break-rate gaps favor Alcaraz. 2.Tirante’s edge is the higher first-serve points won, higher second-serve points won, higher hold %, higher ace rate, higher serve points won, higher return points won, and higher break rate. He takes the ball early and the first-serve and return numbers are the ones that decide service games. Svajda’s edge is the higher first-serve in. He takes the ball early and the first-serve in is the number that decides service games. The first-serve points won, hold, return, and short/middle rally gaps favor Tirante on this surface. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

snk on community.jup.ag
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Over 10.5 games (Set 1) @ 31¢
    Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev v Carlos Alcaraz
    Starts
    Entry
    31¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 31¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    lost · Oct 31, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1284055 "Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 47¢
    Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante v Zachary Svajda
    Starts
    Entry
    47¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 47¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    won · Oct 31, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1285670 "Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda" outcome "Thiago Agustin Tirante" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
14.57¢

31¢ × 47¢ = 14.57¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 14.57 − 1 = +5.86u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 31, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Over 10.5 (Set 1)", Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev v Carlos Alcaraz): gamma POLY-1284055 "Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 12 of 15 in week 5, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.