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LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #594 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

11.22¢ · win pays +7.92u

Said · before resolutionOct 30, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune v Valentin Vacherot: Valentin Vacherot 2. Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz v Arthur Fils: Arthur Fils 3. Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz: Carlos Alcaraz 4. Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini v Alex de Minaur: Alex de Minaur Reasoning: 1.Vacherot takes it early and wins the first-serve points. Rune takes it early off the serve and looks to hold with the second serve. Indoor hard sits the second serve up, which is the ball Rune has won at a higher rate in the current tournament. If Vacherot’s first serve lands at the higher end of the range seen against Jodar, the service games stay cleaner. 2.Fils’s edge is the higher break rate and higher return points won. He takes the ball early and the return numbers are the ones that decide service games. 3.Alcaraz takes it early and wins the return points. Paul takes it early off the serve and looks to hold. Indoor hard sits the second serve up, which is the ball Alcaraz has returned at a higher rate in the sample. 4.De Minaur’s edge is the higher break rate, higher return points won, and higher total points won. He takes the ball early and the return and break-rate numbers are the ones that decide service games. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

snk on community.jup.ag
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Valentin Vacherot @ 42¢
    Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune v Valentin Vacherot
    Starts
    Entry
    42¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 42¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    won · Oct 30, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1278690 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot" outcome "Valentin Vacherot" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    Arthur Fils @ 51¢
    Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz v Arthur Fils
    Starts
    Entry
    51¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 51¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    lost · Oct 30, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1280226 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils" outcome "Arthur Fils" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Carlos Alcaraz @ 77¢
    Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraz
    Starts
    Entry
    77¢
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 77¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    won · Oct 30, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1280223 "Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz" outcome "Carlos Alcaraz" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Alex de Minaur @ 68¢
    Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini v Alex de Minaur
    Starts
    Entry
    68¢
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alex de Minaur"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 68¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    won · Oct 30, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1280231 "Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alex de Minaur" outcome "Alex de Minaur" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
11.22¢

42¢ × 51¢ × 77¢ × 68¢ = 11.22¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 11.22 − 1 = +7.92u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 30, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Arthur Fils", Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz v Arthur Fils): gamma POLY-1280226 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils" outcome "Arthur Fils" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 6 of 15 in week 5, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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