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← Open calls/Combo #564
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #564 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

10.04¢ · win pays +8.96u

Said · before resolutionOct 29, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery v Lorenzo Musetti: Lorenzo Musetti -3.5 games 2. Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz v Denis Shapovalov: Taylor Fritz (Set 1) 3. Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili v Carlos Alcaraz: Nikoloz Basilashvili +1.5 sets Reasoning: I think Frtiz will easily outclass Shapovalov and take set 1. Fery and Musetti but I think Musetti is the better player and would win by more than 4 games. Lastly, I'm looking at Basilashvili recent momentum and explosiveness to take set 1 vs Alcaraz. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

spacegemstone0x on community.jup.ag
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Lost
    Lorenzo Musetti -3.5 games @ 54¢
    Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery v Lorenzo Musetti
    Starts
    Entry
    54¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 54¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    lost · Oct 29, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1272849 "Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Game Spread +/-3.5" outcome "Lorenzo Musetti" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Taylor Fritz (Set 1) @ 62¢
    Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz v Denis Shapovalov
    Starts
    Entry
    62¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 62¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    won · Oct 29, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1274476 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 Winner" outcome "Taylor Fritz" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    Nikoloz Basilashvili +1.5 sets @ 30¢
    Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili v Carlos Alcaraz
    Starts
    Entry
    30¢
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 30¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    lost · Oct 29, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1274472 "Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Nikoloz Basilashvili" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
10.04¢

54¢ × 62¢ × 30¢ = 10.04¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 10.04 − 1 = +8.96u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 29, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("Nikoloz Basilashvili +1.5 sets", Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili v Carlos Alcaraz): gamma POLY-1274472 "Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Nikoloz Basilashvili" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 1 of 15 in week 5, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

spacegemstone0x
rank #13 · season 2
Profile →
+2.54u
profit
19–19
record
38
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.