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← Open calls/Combo #547
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #547 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

48.44¢ · win pays +1.06u

Said · before resolutionOct 29, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot v Rafael Jodar: Rafael Jodar 2. Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi: Tommy Paul 3. Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier v Jiri Lehecka: Jiri Lehecka Reasoning: 1. Jodar’s edge is the return and the break. He takes the ball early and the 28.9% break rate is the number that decides service games on indoor hard. He also wins more of the 4-6 and 7-9 shot points. Vacherot’s edge is the first serve and the hold. He takes the ball early and wins 76.1% of first-serve points. Vacherot needs the first serve to land and the points to stay short. Jodar needs the return to show up so the break gap can open. The hold numbers are close, the break gap is not. 2. Paul takes it early off the serve and wins more of the short and middle points. Darderi takes it early and looks to stretch the longer rallies. Indoor hard makes the second serve harder to attack, which helps the player who already holds at a higher rate (Paul at 84.1%). If Paul’s first serve looks like the 61.5% he posts, he can keep the service games clean and create more breaks. 3. Lehecka’s edge is the hold and the serve points. He takes the ball early and the 88.2% hold rate is the number that decides service games on indoor hard. Altmaier needs the first serve to land and the points to stretch into the longer windows. The hold gap is the one he has to live with. He cannot take Lehecka’s serve often enough to make up for the points he loses once the rally stays short. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

snk on community.jup.ag
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Rafael Jodar @ 73¢
    Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot v Rafael Jodar
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 73¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    lost · Oct 29, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1267047 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar" outcome "Rafael Jodar" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Tommy Paul @ 79¢
    Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi
    Starts
    Entry
    79¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 79¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    won · Oct 29, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1267046 "Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi" outcome "Tommy Paul" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Jiri Lehecka @ 84¢
    Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier v Jiri Lehecka
    Starts
    Entry
    84¢
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Jiri Lehecka"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 84¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    won · Oct 29, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1268829 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Jiri Lehecka" outcome "Jiri Lehecka" price 0.9725 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
48.44¢

73¢ × 79¢ × 84¢ = 48.44¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 48.44 − 1 = +1.06u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 29, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Rafael Jodar", Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot v Rafael Jodar): gamma POLY-1267047 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar" outcome "Rafael Jodar" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 1 of 15 in week 5, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.