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← Open calls/Combo #514
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #514 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

21.12¢ · win pays +3.73u

Said · before resolutionOct 28, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges v Casper Ruud: Casper Ruud 2. Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz v Rinky Hijikata: Taylor Fritz -1.5 sets 3. Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien v Alex de Minaur: Over 22.5 Reasoning: 1. Ruud takes it early and wins more of the return points and the middle lengths. Borges takes it early off the first serve and looks to finish. The holds are nearly identical, so the match is decided by who breaks more. Ruud’s 22.2% break rate versus Borges 17.6% is the gap that matters. 2. Fritz arrives with the bigger serve, the higher ace rate, and the elite hold percentage. Hijikata arrives with a slightly better return and break profile. Indoor hard rewards the cleaner hold and the higher free-point rate. If Fritz’s first serve looks like the last-52 sample, he should control the majority of his service games and limit Hijikata’s break opportunities. 3. Tien takes it early with the lefty serve and wins more of the middle and longer lengths. de Minaur takes it early and wins more of the return points. The holds are the same, so the return gap is what decides the service games. Both are solid on indoor hard, the difference is small and lives in the return. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

snk on community.jup.ag
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Casper Ruud @ 66¢
    Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges v Casper Ruud
    Starts
    Entry
    66¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 66¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    lost · Oct 28, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1262446 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud" outcome "Casper Ruud" price 0.015 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Taylor Fritz -1.5 sets @ 64¢
    Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz v Rinky Hijikata
    Starts
    Entry
    64¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 64¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    won · Oct 28, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1255877 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Taylor Fritz" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Lost
    Over 22.5 games @ 50¢
    Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien v Alex de Minaur
    Starts
    Entry
    50¢
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 50¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    lost · Oct 28, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1262445 "Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 22.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
21.12¢

66¢ × 64¢ × 50¢ = 21.12¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 21.12 − 1 = +3.73u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 28, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Casper Ruud", Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges v Casper Ruud): gamma POLY-1262446 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud" outcome "Casper Ruud" price 0.015 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 14 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.