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← Open calls/Combo #5
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #5 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

37.52¢ · win pays +1.67u

Said · before resolutionOct 2, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

#combo #nfa 1. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1110389 LGD Gaming 2. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1110390 Team Nemesis +1.5 LGD beat Xtreme 2–1 on September 29, giving this pick recent head-to-head support. Nemesis beat NAVI 2–1 and took a map from Spirit. Those results support their ability to take at least one map against 1win, which is enough to cover +1.5 in this BO3. The main risk is LGD’s mixed form: they subsequently lost 0–2 to PARIVISION, while Xtreme beat Level UP 2–0. Nemesis’s results against other opponents also don’t establish an advantage over 1win.

.magsasaka in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    LGD Gaming @ 67¢
    Dota 2: LGD Gaming v Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A
    Starts
    Entry
    67¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A"; entry 67¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 2, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1110389 "Match Winner" outcome "LGD Gaming" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    Team Nemesis +1.5 games @ 56¢
    Dota 2: 1win v Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B
    Starts
    Entry
    56¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B"; entry 56¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 2, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1110390 "Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)" outcome "Team Nemesis" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
37.52¢

67¢ × 56¢ = 37.52¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 37.52 − 1 = +1.67u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 2, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Team Nemesis +1.5 games", Dota 2: 1win v Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B): gamma POLY-1110390 "Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)" outcome "Team Nemesis" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 1 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

.magsasaka
chasing qualification · season 2
Profile →
-0.07u
profit
1–2
record
3
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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