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← Open calls/Combo #490
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #490 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

17.50¢ · win pays +4.71u

Said · before resolutionOct 27, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul v Andrey Rublev: Over 10.5 (Set 1) 2. Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic v Ugo Humbert: Novak Djokovic -1.5 sets Reasoning: 1.Both hold at exactly 84.1%. Serve points won is 66.5% vs 66.2%. Return and break edges are small (Paul slightly better). 2.Djokovic’s hold and return consistency on indoor hard have been stable. Humbert’s recent form has been patchy and his lefty serve loses some effectiveness when the ball sits. The gap in return quality and overall consistency is large enough that Djokovic controls the majority of service games. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

snk on community.jup.ag
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Over 10.5 games (Set 1) @ 35¢
    Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul v Andrey Rublev
    Starts
    Entry
    35¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 35¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    won · Oct 27, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1250677 "Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    Novak Djokovic -1.5 sets @ 50¢
    Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic v Ugo Humbert
    Starts
    Entry
    50¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 50¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
    Result
    lost · Oct 28, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1250705 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Novak Djokovic" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
17.50¢

35¢ × 50¢ = 17.50¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 17.50 − 1 = +4.71u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 28, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Novak Djokovic -1.5 sets", Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic v Ugo Humbert): gamma POLY-1250705 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Novak Djokovic" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 13 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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