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← Open calls/Combo #49
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #49 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

31.83¢ · win pays +2.14u

Said · before resolutionOct 8, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1083681 Picking Borussia Dortmund at 73c 2) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1089269 Picking Arsenal at 71c 3) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1089281 Picking Bayern Munchen at 83c 4) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1089927 Picking Real Madrid at 74c Dortmund, Arsenal and Real Madrid are playing home for this first match after international break, they have no time to waste. Dortmund is 4W-0D-0L so far, super good form, should be able to beat Werder Bremen easily in front of the yellow wall. Arsenal lost 3-0 to Brighton just before the break, they HAVE to win this weekend home against Leeds if they don't want to see Manchester City flying away already. Real Madrid => Dictator M'bappe rested for the last 2 weeks, he'll be super sharp and show Madrid fans what he does best, score goals. Bayern Munich.. Do I have to say anything about them, the 2 best players in the world right now (Kane, Olise) just had an amazing international break, they are in TOP TOP form, Augsburg will be a piece of cake. #NFA #COMBO

Ecstasya in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    BV Borussia 09 Dortmund @ 73¢
    BV Borussia 09 Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 9, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1083681 "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Arsenal FC @ 71¢
    Arsenal FC v Leeds United FC
    Starts
    Entry
    71¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 10, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1089269 "Arsenal FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Lost
    FC Bayern München @ 83¢
    FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München
    Starts
    Entry
    83¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 10, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1089281 "FC Bayern München" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Real Madrid CF @ 74¢
    Real Madrid CF v Villarreal CF
    Starts
    Entry
    74¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 10, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1089927 "Real Madrid CF" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
31.83¢

73¢ × 71¢ × 83¢ × 74¢ = 31.83¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 31.83 − 1 = +2.14u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 9, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("BV Borussia 09 Dortmund", BV Borussia 09 Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen): gamma POLY-1083681 "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 2 of 15 in week 2, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

Ecstasya
rank #46 · season 2
Profile →
-11.25u
profit
40–51
record
91
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.