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← Open calls/Combo #474
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #474 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

27.82¢ · win pays +2.60u

Said · before resolutionOct 26, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. Paris Saint-Germain FC v Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets: Both Teams to Score 2. CD Santa Clara v Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3. Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik v Lukas Neumayer: Jakub Mensik -1.5 sets Reasoning: | 🔴 Super High Risk | 1. PSG are at home, have the deeper squad, and are on a long winning run. The injury list is painful (especially Kvaratskhelia’s season-ending ACL), but the remaining quality (Doué, Torres, Vitinha, Ruiz) and home form should still be enough against a Lyon side that is also missing key players and comes off a heavy European defeat. Lyon will make it competitive, but the Parc des Princes edge and PSG’s resources tilt it. 2. Benfica have the superior individual quality, the better attacking numbers, and a strong recent record against Santa Clara (they have won most recent meetings and Santa Clara have conceded in the last 16 against them). Santa Clara’s home record and defensive organisation make it awkward, but Benfica’s firepower and the need to keep pressure on Porto should see them through. 3. Mensik arrives with the bigger serve, the higher unreturned rate, and the better short-to-middle rally numbers. Neumayer arrives with a slightly better profile in the longer exchanges and solid return numbers at Challenger level. Indoor hard rewards the cleaner hold and the higher free-point rate. If Mensik’s first serve looks like the higher weeks from his last 10 tournaments, he should control the majority of his service games and limit Neumayer’s opportunities to extend points. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

snk on community.jup.ag
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Both Teams to Score @ 60¢
    Paris Saint-Germain FC v Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    60¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 60¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 26, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1175311 "Both Teams to Score" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Sport Lisboa e Benfica @ 76¢
    CD Santa Clara v Sport Lisboa e Benfica
    Starts
    Entry
    76¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 76¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 26, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1183860 "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" outcome "Yes" price 0.982 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Jakub Mensik -1.5 sets @ 61¢
    Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik v Lukas Neumayer
    Starts
    Entry
    61¢
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 61¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 26, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1255869 "Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Jakub Mensik" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
27.82¢

60¢ × 76¢ × 61¢ = 27.82¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 27.82 − 1 = +2.60u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 26, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Both Teams to Score", Paris Saint-Germain FC v Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets): gamma POLY-1175311 "Both Teams to Score" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 12 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.