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← Open calls/Combo #443
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #443 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

13.12¢ · win pays +6.62u

Said · before resolutionOct 25, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. Manchester United FC v AFC Bournemouth - More Markets: Over 2.5 2. SC Freiburg v FC Bayern München - More Markets: Over 2.5 3. Liverpool FC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC - More Markets: Over 3.5 4. Hull City AFC v Brentford FC - More Markets: Over 2.5 Reasoning: Manchester United's defensive struggles make this an appealing matchup for goals. United enter this game after a 4–1 defeat to Como, while Bournemouth arrive with confidence after beating AC Milan 3–0 in European competition. Attacking quality, recent goal trends and head-to-head evidence. Bayern scored 22 goals in their first six Bundesliga matches, while Freiburg scored 15. Both teams have shown the ability to create chances, and recent meetings have frequently produced multiple goals. Brighton's attacking momentum is a major factor. They have won their last four Premier League matches, scoring 15 goals without conceding. Their ability to create chances through quick transitions, attacking movement and pressure in the final third makes them dangerous opponents, even away from home. Brentford's attacking quality is the main reason to consider the over. They have scored in every league match so far, and their forward line has shown the ability to capitalize on defensive mistakes. Hull's home advantage could also encourage a more competitive attacking performance, particularly if they concede first. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

vince. on community.jup.ag
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Over 2.5 @ 39¢
    Manchester United FC v AFC Bournemouth - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    39¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 39¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 39¢ 9s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 25, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1175323 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Over 2.5 @ 75¢
    SC Freiburg v FC Bayern München - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    75¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 75¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 25, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1175313 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Lost
    Over 3.5 @ 76¢
    Liverpool FC v Brighton & Hove Albion FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    76¢
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC - More Markets"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 76¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (76¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
    Result
    lost · Oct 25, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1175326 "O/U 3.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4 · decided the comboLost
    Over 2.5 @ 59¢
    Hull City AFC v Brentford FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    59¢
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Hull City AFC vs. Brentford FC - More Markets"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 59¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 59¢ 5s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    lost · Oct 25, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1175318 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
13.12¢

39¢ × 75¢ × 76¢ × 59¢ = 13.12¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 13.12 − 1 = +6.62u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 25, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 4: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 4 ("Over 2.5", Hull City AFC v Brentford FC - More Markets): gamma POLY-1175318 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 1 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

vince.
rank #43 · season 2
Profile →
-8.08u
profit
38–45
record
83
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.