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← Open calls/Combo #42
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #42 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

32.95¢ · win pays +2.04u

Said · before resolutionOct 7, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Risk: 🔴 Super Degen High Risk ATP MASTERS 1000 - Shanghai 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇫🇷 A. Gea @ 64c Reason: Gea's edge is the surface and the week he just played. Hard is his court, Beijing was the cousin of this one, and Hurkacz is the last man who took a set off him. Faria's hole is the score he walked out of Tokyo with. A bagel and a 6-1, three days ago, on outdoor hard. If Gea takes the ball early and keeps the point short, the way he did against Zhang, he should come through in three. If Faria can sit on the second serve and make it the Atmane rally, this goes the distance and the first set is his. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1136513 ATP MASTERS 1000 - Shanghai 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇮🇹 M. Berrettini @ 66c Reason:This is a first-strike serve against a hard-court redirect, on the court that takes the most off the serve. Berrettini arrives with the bigger ball and a win over Davidovich Fokina still in the fortnight. Kovacevic arrives with the court that helps him and no win on it. If the Italian first serve lands and the forehand stays short, he should come through in straight sets. If the second ball sits up and Kovacevic can take it early the way he did against Tsitsipas, the Vallejo path is live and this goes the distance. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1136510 ATP MASTERS 1000 - Shanghai 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇮🇹 M. Bellucci @ 78c Reason: Bellucci's edge is the delivery and the week. Two wins over Muller in six days, the last one with an 88 percent first-serve number, on this court. The hole is the fluff. Shanghai takes pace off the ace count, and a home first ball at 6'4" only needs one loose game. This is a lefty first strike against a home serve, on the court that takes the most off the first strike, a few hours after the lefty held at 88 percent. Bellucci arrives with the matches. Zhou arrives with the crowd. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1143726 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Arthur Gea @ 64¢
    Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea v Jaime Faria
    Starts
    Entry
    64¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 7, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1136513 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria" outcome "Arthur Gea" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Matteo Berrettini @ 66¢
    Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic v Matteo Berrettini
    Starts
    Entry
    66¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini"; entry is the caller's stated 66¢: the order-book ask at post time read 64¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 7, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1136510 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini" outcome "Matteo Berrettini" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    Mattia Bellucci @ 78¢
    Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci v Yi Zhou
    Starts
    Entry
    78¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 7, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1143726 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou" outcome "Mattia Bellucci" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
32.95¢

64¢ × 66¢ × 78¢ = 32.95¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 32.95 − 1 = +2.04u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 7, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("Mattia Bellucci", Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci v Yi Zhou): gamma POLY-1143726 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou" outcome "Mattia Bellucci" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 6 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #16 · season 2
Profile →
+0.06u
profit
14–12
record
26
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.