Skip to content
← Open calls/Combo #418
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #418 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

42.10¢ · win pays +1.38u

Said · before resolutionOct 25, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. Seoul: Koki Matsuda v Geun Jun Kim: Koki Matsuda 2. Ningbo: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong v Qian Sun: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 3. Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo v Yusuke Kusuhara: Luca Castelnuovo Reasoning: 1. Matsuda’s edge is the ranking and the Challenger experience. He takes the ball early and has played more matches at this level. Kim’s edge is the lower-level consistency and the ability to stay in the point. 2. Leong arrives with the higher ranking and the more recent Challenger matches. Sun arrives with lower-level form and less experience at this level. The ranking gap and the Challenger sample favor Leong. If Leong’s first serve holds, he controls the short points. 3. Castelnuovo’s edge is the ranking, the lefty angles, and the Challenger experience. He takes the ball early and has played more matches at this level. Kusuhara’s edge is the ability to stay in the point when the serve sits. Kusuhara needs the second serve to sit and the points to get longer. Castelnuovo needs the first serve to land and the points to stay short. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

snk on community.jup.ag
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Koki Matsuda @ 71¢
    Seoul: Koki Matsuda v Geun Jun Kim
    Starts
    Entry
    71¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 71¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 25, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1247018 "Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim" outcome "Koki Matsuda" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong @ 77¢
    Ningbo: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong v Qian Sun
    Starts
    Entry
    77¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Ningbo: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Qian Sun"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 77¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 26, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1247021 "Ningbo: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Qian Sun" outcome "Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Luca Castelnuovo @ 77¢
    Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo v Yusuke Kusuhara
    Starts
    Entry
    77¢
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 77¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 25, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1247025 "Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara" outcome "Luca Castelnuovo" price 0.986 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
42.10¢

71¢ × 77¢ × 77¢ = 42.10¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 42.10 − 1 = +1.38u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 26, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong", Ningbo: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong v Qian Sun): gamma POLY-1247021 "Ningbo: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Qian Sun" outcome "Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 10 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.