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← Open calls/Combo #414
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #414 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

37.82¢ · win pays +1.64u

Said · before resolutionOct 24, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168565 Pick: Chelsea Over 1.5 Goals @ 62¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1167432 Pick: Lazio Over 1.5 Goals @ 61¢ Chelsea need to score at least twice against Tottenham, while Lazio also need at least two goals against Parma. Both selections depend on the chosen team producing enough attacking chances and converting them into goals. #NFA #COMBO

uguru0815 in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Chelsea FC Over 1.5 @ 62¢
    Chelsea FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    62¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets"; "Chelsea Over 1.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets" (POLY-1168858); entry is the caller's stated 62¢: the order-book ask at post time read 57¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (55¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168858 "Chelsea FC O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    SS Lazio Over 1.5 @ 61¢
    SS Lazio v Parma Calcio 1913 - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    61¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 - More Markets"; "Lazio Over 1.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 - More Markets" (POLY-1168855); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168855 "SS Lazio O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
37.82¢

62¢ × 61¢ = 37.82¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 37.82 − 1 = +1.64u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Chelsea FC Over 1.5", Chelsea FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets): gamma POLY-1168858 "Chelsea FC O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 13 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

uguru0815
rank #8 · season 2
Profile →
+8.37u
profit
35–22
record
57
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.