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← Open calls/Combo #413
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #413 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

43.68¢ · win pays +1.29u

Said · before resolutionOct 24, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168565 Pick: Chelsea to Win: YES @ 52¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1169104 Pick: Villarreal Over 0.5: Goals @ 79¢ I’m backing Chelsea to win against Tottenham, while Villarreal need to score just once against Valencia for their selection to land. Both picks offer a clear route to winning, but Chelsea must secure the victory and Villarreal must find the net. #NFA #COMBO

uguru0815 in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Chelsea FC @ 52¢
    Chelsea FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Starts
    Entry
    52¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC"; entry 55¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 52¢); entry checked against the trade tape: entry 55¢ -> 52¢, the tape paid 52¢ at the post moment (caller stated 52¢) (4s before the post)
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168565 "Chelsea FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Villarreal CF Over 0.5 @ 84¢
    Valencia CF v Villarreal CF - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    84¢ (the message said 79¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets"; "Villarreal Over 0.5: Goals @ 79c" is on this fixture's companion event "Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets" (POLY-1169316); entry 84¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 79¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1169316 "Villarreal CF O/U 0.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
43.68¢

52¢ × 84¢ = 43.68¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 43.68 − 1 = +1.29u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Chelsea FC", Chelsea FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC): gamma POLY-1168565 "Chelsea FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 12 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

uguru0815
rank #8 · season 2
Profile →
+8.37u
profit
35–22
record
57
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.