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← Open calls/Combo #411
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #411 · Season 2

Combo · 6 legs

20.26¢ · win pays +3.94u

Said · before resolutionOct 24, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1169114 Pick: Under 4.5 Goals @ 77¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1169104 Pick: Under 4.5 goals @ 76¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168588 Pick: Under 4.5 goals @ 76¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1167426 Pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 61¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1167432 Pick: Under 4.5 Goals @ 76¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168565 Pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 68¢ Reasoning: Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo under 4 gives room for a match with up to three goals, which fits a potential controlled Atlético win. Valencia vs Villarreal under 3.5 allows up to three goals, while Dortmund vs Frankfurt under 4 offers some protection against a high-scoring game, depending on the market’s settlement rules. Napoli vs Roma under 3 suits a tighter contest, with exactly three goals potentially treated differently depending on whether the market is an Asian total or a standard under market. Parma vs Lazio under 4 allows for a match with three goals or fewer, and Chelsea vs Tottenham under 3 calls for a more cautious, lower-scoring encounter. These are goal-limit selections, not guaranteed outcomes. #NFA #COMBO

blockbullz in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 6 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Under 4.5 @ 78¢
    Club Atlético de Madrid v RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    78¢ (the message said 77¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña - More Markets" (POLY-1169310); entry 78¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 77¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1169310 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.99 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Under 4.5 @ 84¢
    Valencia CF v Villarreal CF - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    84¢ (the message said 76¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets" (POLY-1169316); entry 84¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 76¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1169316 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Under 4.5 @ 76¢
    BV Borussia 09 Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    76¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 goals" is on this fixture's companion event "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt - More Markets" (POLY-1168856); entry is the caller's stated 76¢: the order-book ask at post time read 70¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168856 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4 · decided the comboLost
    Under 3.5 @ 68¢
    SSC Napoli v AS Roma - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    68¢ (the message said 61¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma - More Markets"; "Under 3.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma - More Markets" (POLY-1168862); entry 68¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 61¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168862 "O/U 3.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  5. Leg 5Won
    Under 4.5 @ 88¢
    SS Lazio v Parma Calcio 1913 - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    88¢ (the message said 76¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 5: event "SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 - More Markets"; "Under 4.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 - More Markets" (POLY-1168855); entry 88¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 76¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168855 "O/U 4.5" outcome "Under" price 0.9965 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  6. Leg 6Won
    Under 3.5 @ 68¢
    Chelsea FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    68¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 6: event "Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets"; "Under 3.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets" (POLY-1168858); entry is the caller's stated 68¢: the order-book ask at post time read 60¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168858 "O/U 3.5" outcome "Under" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
20.26¢

78¢ × 84¢ × 76¢ × 68¢ × 88¢ × 68¢ = 20.26¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 20.26 − 1 = +3.94u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 4: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 4 ("Under 3.5", SSC Napoli v AS Roma - More Markets): gamma POLY-1168862 "O/U 3.5" outcome "Under" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 9 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

blockbullz
rank #47 · season 2
Profile →
-11.94u
profit
67–72
record
139
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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