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← Open calls/Combo #404
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #404 · Season 2

Combo · 6 legs

25.92¢ · win pays +2.86u

Said · before resolutionOct 24, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168588 Pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 69¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1167426 Pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 81¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1167432 Pick: Over 1.5 goals @ 78¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168528 Pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 78¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1169104 Pick: Valencia to Win NO @ 73¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1169114 Pick: Atlético Madrid to Win YES @ 77¢ Dortmund vs Frankfurt has potential to produce at least two goals, with Dortmund’s home scoring record and Frankfurt’s defensive vulnerabilities supporting Over 1.5. Napoli vs Roma is a high-profile matchup with attacking quality on both sides, making two total goals a realistic target, while Lazio’s strong league start gives their match against Parma a good basis for Over 1.5 if Parma can contribute or Lazio create enough chances themselves. Lens vs Paris FC also needs only two goals, so a single goal from each side or two from one team would be enough. Valencia to Win: NO means backing against a Valencia victory, so either a Villarreal win or a draw would land; Villarreal’s attacking threat makes that a plausible position. Atlético Madrid have the stronger overall squad and home advantage against Deportivo, making the home win the clearest result based selection in this set. #NFA #COMBO

blockbullz in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 6 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Over 1.5 @ 89¢
    BV Borussia 09 Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    89¢ (the message said 69¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt - More Markets"; "Over 1.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt - More Markets" (POLY-1168856); entry 89¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 69¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168856 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Over 1.5 @ 81¢
    SSC Napoli v AS Roma - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    81¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma - More Markets"; "Over 1.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma - More Markets" (POLY-1168862); entry is the caller's stated 81¢: the order-book ask at post time read 78¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168862 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Over 1.5 @ 78¢
    SS Lazio v Parma Calcio 1913 - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    78¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 - More Markets"; "Over 1.5 goals" is on this fixture's companion event "SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 - More Markets" (POLY-1168855); entry is the caller's stated 78¢: the order-book ask at post time read 76¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168855 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Over 1.5 @ 82¢
    Racing Club de Lens v Paris FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    82¢ (the message said 78¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris FC - More Markets"; "Over 1.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris FC - More Markets" (POLY-1168854); entry 82¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 78¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168854 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  5. Leg 5Won
    No: Valencia CF @ 73¢
    Valencia CF v Villarreal CF
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 5: event "Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1169104 "Valencia CF" outcome "No" price 0.9955 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  6. Leg 6Won
    Club Atlético de Madrid @ 77¢
    Club Atlético de Madrid v RC Deportivo A Coruña
    Starts
    Entry
    77¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 6: event "Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña"; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 77¢ 6s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1169114 "Club Atlético de Madrid" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
25.92¢

89¢ × 81¢ × 78¢ × 82¢ × 73¢ × 77¢ = 25.92¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 25.92 − 1 = +2.86u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Over 1.5", BV Borussia 09 Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt - More Markets): gamma POLY-1168856 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 7 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

blockbullz
rank #47 · season 2
Profile →
-11.94u
profit
67–72
record
139
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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