Combo · 3 legs
48.02¢ · win pays +1.08u
Risk: 🔴 Super Degen High Risk ATP500 - China Open - Beijing 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇷🇺 D. Medvedev @ 81c Reason: Medvedev’s height, flat depth and return take away the contact point Carreno Busta needs to make the backhand heavy. The Spaniard’s route is narrow: attack the second serve early, keep the rallies on his terms, and hope the Hangzhou title left the first serve a little short. If Medvedev lands the first ball at his usual rate, the points stay short and the qualifier’s heavier game never really starts. The older version of this matchup still had room for an upset. This version, on outdoor hard and with Medvedev coming off a title, has much less of it. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1102969 ATP500 - China Open - Beijing 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇷🇸 N. Djokovic @ 76c Reason: The match is really about whether Djokovic’s shoulder lets him hold without a fight. Bu’s path is the short point, first serve, forehand into the open court, and a crowd that makes those games feel easier than they are. If the rally goes past four shots, the odds of Bu winning aren't good. Djokovic’s return takes the height out of Bu’s strike zone, and the Chinese player has not shown he can win that version of the point for a full set. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1109342 ATP500 - China Open - Beijing 🇨🇳 Pick: 🇷🇺 K. Khachanov @ 78c Reason: Khachanov’s whole month has been built on a serve that does not get broken and a forehand that ends the rally once he is inside the baseline. Molcan should nick a break look in the opening set off the wide serve but the height takes over once Khachanov’s first-serve number settles. A tiebreak is the realistic upset path, not a sustained rally win. If the Russian starts as flat as he sometimes does, the first set goes long. The second should not. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1112203 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo
- Leg 1WonDaniil Medvedev @ 81¢China Open: Daniil Medvedev v Pablo Carreno Busta
- Starts
- Entry
- 81¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta"; entry is the caller's stated 81¢; the order book at the post moment reads 80.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 80.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 2, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1102969 "China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta" outcome "Daniil Medvedev" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2WonNovak Djokovic @ 76¢China Open: Yunchaokete Bu v Novak Djokovic
- Starts
- Entry
- 76¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic"; entry is the caller's stated 76¢; the order book at the post moment reads 75.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 75.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 2, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1109342 "China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic" outcome "Novak Djokovic" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 3WonKaren Khachanov @ 78¢China Open: Alex Molcan v Karen Khachanov
- Starts
- Entry
- 78¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 3: event "China Open: Alex Molcan vs Karen Khachanov"; entry is the caller's stated 78¢; the order book at the post moment reads 77.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 77.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 2, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1112203 "China Open: Alex Molcan vs Karen Khachanov" outcome "Karen Khachanov" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
81¢ × 76¢ × 78¢ = 48.02¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 48.02 − 1 = +1.08u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
Verification details
Counts toward Season 2: combo 1 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.