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← Open calls/Combo #399
WONPredictions · ComboCombo #399 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

24.44¢ · win pays +3.09u

Said · before resolutionOct 24, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

PICK 4 COMBO 1. Girona FC vs. Celta Fortuna pick: GIRONA FC @ 70¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1169110 My reason: Girona is a fairly experienced club; this match promises to be a spectacular encounter, with Girona poised for a goal fest on their home turf. 2. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Pick: BVB DORTMUND @ 65¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168588 My reason: Dortmund is a club that has produced many star players; during the Lewandowski era, it was a giant club that was difficult to defeat. 3. RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg Pick: REDBUL LEIPZIG @ 68¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168578 My reason: RB Leipzig has performed exceptionally well in their last few matches; they should be able to secure a win in this game. 4. Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF Pick: Over 1.5 @ 79¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1169104 My reason: It’s an intense matchup between the two teams, but Villarreal is favored to win, as Valencia has lost its best form. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Girona FC @ 70¢
    Girona FC v Celta Fortuna
    Starts
    Entry
    70¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Girona FC vs. Celta Fortuna"; entry is the caller's stated 70¢; the order book at the post moment reads 72¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 72.0¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1169110 "Girona FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    BV Borussia 09 Dortmund @ 65¢
    BV Borussia 09 Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt
    Starts
    Entry
    65¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt"; entry is the caller's stated 65¢; the order book at the post moment reads 65.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 65.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168588 "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    RB Leipzig @ 68¢
    RB Leipzig v SV 07 Elversberg
    Starts
    Entry
    68¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg"; entry is the caller's stated 68¢; the order book at the post moment reads 68.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 68.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168578 "RB Leipzig" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Over 1.5 @ 79¢
    Valencia CF v Villarreal CF - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    79¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets"; "Over 1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets" (POLY-1169316); entry is the caller's stated 79¢; the order book at the post moment reads 79.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 79.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1169316 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
24.44¢

70¢ × 65¢ × 68¢ × 79¢ = 24.44¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 24.44 − 1 = +3.09u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Won: every leg won. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
+3.09uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 24.44 − 1)
Verification details
won: every leg won (70¢ × 65¢ × 68¢ × 79¢ = 24.44¢, pays +3.09u)

Counts toward Season 2: combo 9 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
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+9.72u
profit
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How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.