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← Open calls/Combo #397
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #397 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

27.13¢ · win pays +2.69u

Said · before resolutionOct 24, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168495 Pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 65¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168519 Pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 74¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168545 Pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 75¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168565 Pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 62¢ Aston Villa vs Manchester City has strong potential for three or more goals, with City’s powerful attack and Villa’s recent improvement making this an appealing goal market selection. Arsenal vs Everton only needs two goals, and Arsenal’s attacking quality gives this pick a reasonable foundation, although Everton’s defensive record means a high scoring match is not guaranteed. Coventry vs Fulham also needs just two goals, making Over 1.5 a less demanding target than backing a winner. Chelsea vs Tottenham is a London derby between two sides with attacking quality, so Over 2.5 is plausible if the match opens up, though derby intensity can also make the game tight. #NFA #COMBO

zubycharles in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Over 2.5 @ 71¢
    Aston Villa FC v Manchester City FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    71¢ (the message said 65¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets"; "Over 2.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets" (POLY-1168871); entry 71¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 65¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168871 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Over 1.5 @ 78¢
    Arsenal FC v Everton FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    78¢ (the message said 74¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC - More Markets"; "Over 1.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC - More Markets" (POLY-1168867); entry 78¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 74¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168867 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    Over 1.5 @ 79¢
    Coventry City FC v Fulham FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    79¢ (the message said 75¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC - More Markets"; "Over 1.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC - More Markets" (POLY-1168864); entry 79¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 75¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168864 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Lost
    Over 2.5 @ 62¢
    Chelsea FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    62¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets"; "Over 2.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets" (POLY-1168858); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168858 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
27.13¢

71¢ × 78¢ × 79¢ × 62¢ = 27.13¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 27.13 − 1 = +2.69u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("Over 1.5", Coventry City FC v Fulham FC - More Markets): gamma POLY-1168864 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 2 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

zubycharles
rank #33 · season 2
Profile →
-4.86u
profit
35–34
record
69
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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