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← Open calls/Combo #392
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #392 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

27.20¢ · win pays +2.68u

Said · before resolutionOct 24, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1171995 Pick: FC Porto to Win YES @ 67¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168495 Pick: Aston Villa to Win NO @ 82¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168565 Pick: Chelsea to Win YES @ 55¢ Reasoning: Porto’s strong league start and defensive consistency give them a good foundation against Gil Vicente despite the challenge of playing away, Manchester City’s quality gives them a credible chance of avoiding defeat against Aston Villa with either a City win or draw satisfying the selection, while Chelsea’s home advantage and attacking threat give them an edge over Tottenham in a competitive London derby, although all three picks carry risk and should be judged against their market prices. #NFA #COMBO

blockbullz in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    FC Porto @ 67¢
    Gil Vicente FC v FC Porto
    Starts
    Entry
    67¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Porto"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1171995 "FC Porto" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    No: Aston Villa FC @ 82¢
    Aston Villa FC v Manchester City FC
    Starts
    Entry
    82¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC"; entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (81¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168495 "Aston Villa FC" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Lost
    Chelsea FC @ 49.5¢
    Chelsea FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Starts
    Entry
    49.5¢ (the message said 55¢)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC"; entry 49.5¢ from the market's own record at the post moment: the caller stated 55¢, which the tape does not support (it sat flat on 49.5¢ across the post), and a figure that existed nowhere binds nobody; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168565 "Chelsea FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
27.20¢

67¢ × 82¢ × 49.5¢ = 27.20¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 27.20 − 1 = +2.68u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Aston Villa FC No", Aston Villa FC v Manchester City FC): gamma POLY-1168495 "Aston Villa FC" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 5 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

blockbullz
rank #47 · season 2
Profile →
-11.94u
profit
67–72
record
139
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.