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← Open calls/Combo #387
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #387 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

26.35¢ · win pays +2.80u

Said · before resolutionOct 24, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Pick 4 COMBO 1. Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC Pick: Over 2.5 @ 69¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168495 My reason: Manchester City possesses many star players and a dangerous attacking line, but Aston Villa is a solid team and will be the hosts for this match. I believe the outcome will be surprising, with plenty of goals scored. 2. Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC Pick: Over 2.5 @ 60¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168565 My reason: This match is quite intense from both teams; it looks like Chelsea will win with a score of 3-1. 3. Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC Pick: Over 1.5 @ 77¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168519 My reason: Arsenal is focusing on the Champions League; I expect them to employ a defensive formation, so there won't be many goals in this match. 4. SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma Pick Over 1.5 @ 76¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1167426 My reason: A heated Serie A clash begins here; Roma are in top form, but Napoli are also starting to show their best game—this match looks likely to end in a 1-1 draw. #NFA #COMBO

crypto_strategy in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Over 2.5 @ 71¢
    Aston Villa FC v Manchester City FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    71¢ (the message said 69¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets"; "Over 2.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets" (POLY-1168871); entry 71¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 69¢); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 71¢ 15s from the post, within a cent of the entry
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168871 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    Over 2.5 @ 61¢
    Chelsea FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    61¢ (the message said 60¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets"; "Over 2.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets" (POLY-1168858); entry 61¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 60¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168858 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Over 1.5 @ 78¢
    Arsenal FC v Everton FC - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    78¢ (the message said 77¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC - More Markets"; "Over 1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC - More Markets" (POLY-1168867); entry 78¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 77¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168867 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Over 1.5 @ 78¢
    SSC Napoli v AS Roma - More Markets
    Starts
    Entry
    78¢ (the message said 76¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma - More Markets"; "Over 1.5" is on this fixture's companion event "SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma - More Markets" (POLY-1168862); entry 78¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 76¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1168862 "O/U 1.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
26.35¢

71¢ × 61¢ × 78¢ × 78¢ = 26.35¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 26.35 − 1 = +2.80u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Over 2.5", Chelsea FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC - More Markets): gamma POLY-1168858 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 11 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

crypto_strategy
rank #6 · season 2
Profile →
+9.72u
profit
60–54
record
114
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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