LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #386 · Season 2
Combo · 6 legs
13.54¢ · win pays +6.38u
Said · before resolutionOct 24, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168495 Pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 78¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168562 Pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 66¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1167414 Pick: Como to Win YES @ 67¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168565 Pick: Tottenham to Win NO @ 75¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1169114 Pick: Atletico Madrid to Win YES @ 77¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1168519 Pick: Arsenal to Win YES @ 68¢ I’m backing these six selections based on attacking potential, team quality, and the likelihood of each match producing the chosen outcome, with Como, Atletico Madrid and Arsenal backed to win, Tottenham backed not to win, and both goal markets expected to go over 2.5. #NFA #COMBO
greenedgeok in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 6 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1WonOver 2.5 @ 78¢Aston Villa FC v Manchester City FC - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 78¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets"; "Over 2.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets" (POLY-1168871); entry is the caller's stated 78¢: the order-book ask at post time read 71¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 71¢ 15s from the post, within a cent of the entry - Result
- won · Oct 24, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1168871 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2 · decided the comboLostOver 2.5 @ 66¢FC Augsburg v 1. FC Union Berlin - More Markets
- Starts
- Entry
- 66¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin - More Markets"; "Over 2.5 Goals" is on this fixture's companion event "FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin - More Markets" (POLY-1168866); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 24, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1168866 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 3WonComo 1907 @ 67¢Como 1907 v US Sassuolo Calcio
- Starts
- Entry
- 67¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 3: event "Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 24, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1167414 "Como 1907" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 4LostNo: Tottenham Hotspur FC @ 75¢Chelsea FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Starts
- Entry
- 75¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 4: event "Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 24, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1168565 "Tottenham Hotspur FC" outcome "No" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 5WonClub Atlético de Madrid @ 77¢Club Atlético de Madrid v RC Deportivo A Coruña
- Starts
- Entry
- 77¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 5: event "Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 24, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1169114 "Club Atlético de Madrid" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 6WonArsenal FC @ 68¢Arsenal FC v Everton FC
- Starts
- Entry
- 68¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 6: event "Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 24, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1168519 "Arsenal FC" outcome "Yes" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
13.54¢
78¢ × 66¢ × 67¢ × 75¢ × 77¢ × 68¢ = 13.54¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 13.54 − 1 = +6.38u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Over 2.5", FC Augsburg v 1. FC Union Berlin - More Markets): gamma POLY-1168866 "O/U 2.5" outcome "Over" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter
Counts toward Season 2: combo 4 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.