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LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #372 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

13.02¢ · win pays +6.68u

Said · before resolutionOct 24, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Okay... this is just my hyper mega crazy daily combo, def not hitting so do not ape please <:kekcat:1239862927398277180> Risk: 🔴 Super Hyper Mega Degen High Risk ATP500 - Vienna 🇦🇹 Pick: 🇵🇾 A. Vallejo -1.5 @ 31c Reason: Vallejo’s edge is the break rate, the return points won, and the longer rallies. He takes the ball early and the higher break rate (25.3% vs 15.7%), return points won (37.5% vs 33.4%), and the better numbers in the 4-6, 7-9, and 10+ shot windows are the ones that decide service games on indoor hard when the second serve sits. Sonego’s edge is the hold, the serve points won, and the second-serve points won. He takes it early and the higher hold (82.6% vs 74.9%), serve points won (66.2% vs 61.2%), and second-serve points won (52.5% vs 48.4%) can keep service games intact if the first ball is landing cleanly. The problem for Sonego is that the break rate and return gaps are the ones that have already decided similar matchups when the second serve sits, and Vallejo’s recent Tokyo and Shanghai form is the cleaner momentum. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1243098 ATP500 - Basel 🇨🇭 Pick: 🇨🇭 M. Brunold @ 42c Reason: Brunold’s edge is the indoor form, the return points won in the better weeks, and the home court. He takes the ball early and the higher return points won in his recent indoor Challenger weeks are the numbers that decide service games once the first serve sits. Faria’s edge is the higher ace rate in some outdoor weeks and the higher level of opposition. He takes it early and the higher ace rates can keep sets live if the first ball lands and the points stay short. The problem for Faria is that the indoor file is thin and the results have not matched the outdoor serve numbers. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1243108 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Adolfo Vallejo -1.5 sets @ 31¢
    Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo v Lorenzo Sonego
    Starts
    Entry
    31¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1243098 "Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Adolfo Vallejo" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Mika Brunold @ 42¢
    Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Jaime Faria v Mika Brunold
    Starts
    Entry
    42¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Mika Brunold"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1243108 "Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Mika Brunold" outcome "Mika Brunold" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
13.02¢

31¢ × 42¢ = 13.02¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 13.02 − 1 = +6.68u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Adolfo Vallejo -1.5 sets", Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo v Lorenzo Sonego): gamma POLY-1243098 "Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Adolfo Vallejo" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 9 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.