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LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #371 · Season 2

Combo · 3 legs

28.50¢ · win pays +2.51u

Said · before resolutionOct 24, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Aight, big tournys comming up, im trying some comboz with it! With my luck latelly better to not ape at all! 🫡 Risk: 🔴 Super Degen High Risk ATP500 - Vienna 🇦🇹 Pick: 🇫🇷 T. Droguet @ 73c Reason: Droguet is the one who posts the higher first-serve and second-serve numbers and has the recent hard-court titles. Schwärzler is the lefty who can create angles but is coming off mixed results. On indoor hard the serve consistency favors the Frenchman. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1243103 ATP500 - Vienna 🇦🇺 Pick: 🇭🇺 F. Marozsan -1.5 @ 64c Reason: Marozsan is the one who posts the higher first-serve points won and has the ATP-level results. Sorger is the home player who has been winning at lower levels with solid return numbers. On indoor hard the first-serve consistency and the level favor the Hungarian. He takes the ball early and the numbers from the last 10 tournaments show he can finish short points more cleanly than Sorger has managed against similar returns. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1243100 ATP500 - Basel 🇨🇭 Pick: 🇺🇸 A. Kovacevic @ 61c Reason: Kovacevic’s edge is the hold, the serve points won, and the ace rate. He takes the ball early and the higher hold (85.7% vs 81.5%), serve points won (66.8% vs 64.2%), and ace rate (13.1% vs 9.7%) are the numbers that decide service games on a fast indoor hard court. Duckworth’s edge is the break rate and the return points won. He takes it early and the higher break rate (16.0% vs 9.3%) and return points won (33.3% vs 29.2%) can keep sets live if Kovacevic’s first-serve percentage drops. The problem for Duckworth is the long travel from Almaty after the Tsitsipas match. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1243105 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 3 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Titouan Droguet @ 73¢
    Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Joel Schwaerzler v Titouan Droguet
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Joel Schwaerzler vs Titouan Droguet"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1243103 "Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Joel Schwaerzler vs Titouan Droguet" outcome "Titouan Droguet" price 0.995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    Fabian Marozsan -1.5 sets @ 64¢
    Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan v Sebastian Sorger
    Starts
    Entry
    64¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Sebastian Sorger"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1243100 "Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Sebastian Sorger Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Fabian Marozsan" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Aleksandar Kovacevic @ 61¢
    Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic v James Duckworth
    Starts
    Entry
    61¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs James Duckworth"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1243105 "Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs James Duckworth" outcome "Aleksandar Kovacevic" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
28.50¢

73¢ × 64¢ × 61¢ = 28.50¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 28.50 − 1 = +2.51u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Fabian Marozsan -1.5 sets", Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan v Sebastian Sorger): gamma POLY-1243100 "Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Sebastian Sorger Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Fabian Marozsan" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 8 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
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