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← Open calls/Combo #359
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #359 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

52.93¢ · win pays +0.89u

Said · before resolutionOct 23, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

Risk: 🔴 Super Degen High Risk ATP250 - European Open - Brussels 🇧🇪 Pick: 🇧🇪 Z. Bergs @ 67c Reason: Bergs is the one who posts the higher break rate and return points won in the last-52 sample. Struff is the one who posts the higher ace rate and has been solid this week in Brussels. On a fast indoor hard the return and break rate favor the Belgian. He takes the ball early and the numbers from the last 52 matches show he can finish the middle lengths and win the return points at a higher rate than Struff has managed against similar returns. Struff takes it early and the higher ace rate is the number that can keep sets live if Bergs’s first-serve percentage drops. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1236018 ATP250 - Lyon Open 🇫🇷 Pick: 🇺🇸 T. Fritz @ 76c Reason: Fritz’s edge is the hold, the serve points won, and the ace rate. He takes the ball early and the higher hold (88.6% vs 77.5%), serve points won (70.1% vs 62.5%), and ace rate (17.0% vs 9.0%) are the numbers that decide service games on indoor hard. Altmaier’s edge is the slightly higher break rate and the old clay H2H. He takes it early and the break rate can keep sets live if Fritz’s first-serve percentage drops. The problem for Altmaier is that he cannot take Fritz’s serve often enough to offset the points he loses once the rally starts. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1236015 *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa #combo

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Zizou Bergs @ 67¢
    European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff v Zizou Bergs
    Starts
    Entry
    67¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1236018 "European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs" outcome "Zizou Bergs" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Taylor Fritz @ 79¢
    Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier v Taylor Fritz
    Starts
    Entry
    79¢ (the message said 76¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz"; entry 79¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 76¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1236015 "Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz" outcome "Taylor Fritz" price 0.998 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
52.93¢

67¢ × 79¢ = 52.93¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 52.93 − 1 = +0.89u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 23, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Zizou Bergs", European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff v Zizou Bergs): gamma POLY-1236018 "European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs" outcome "Zizou Bergs" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 7 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.